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Yablokov: Oncological Diseases after Chernobyl 175Figure 6.17. Thyroid cancer incidence in children (per 1,000,000), age adjusted rate1935–1992, and I-131 concentration in milk for Connecticut (Reid and Mangano, 1995).TABLE 6.8. Future Predicted Chernobyl-Induced Thyroid Cancers According to Various SourcesNumber of cases Period Author CommentsBelarus1,100 in boys, 2,300 in girls(whole country); 730 in boys,1,500 in girls (Gomel Province)12,500 (whole country) All time Ostapenko, 2002;Fedorov, 200215,000 (whole country) Up to 2053 National BelarussianReport, 200314,000–31,400 (whole country) Up to 2056 Malko, 200750,200 (Gomel province), “fromabove 5,000” (MogilevProvince)“Up to 50,000” (whole country) All time Krysenko, 2002;Fedorov, 2002Russia3,700 (Kaluga, Tula, and Oryolprovinces)659 (Bryansk, Tula, Kaluga,Oryol, Kursk, Ryazan, andLeningrad provinces)Up to 2056 Demidchik et al., 1999 In persons aged 0–17 years at thetime of the meltdownIn persons aged 0–17 years at thetime of the meltdownAll time Brown, 2000 Data from the International Agencyfor Research on Cancer (IARC)In today’s adolescents and youngpeopleAll time Brown, 2000 Data from the International Agencyfor Research on Cancer (IARC)All time Demidchik et al., 1996Belarus, Ukraine, Russia50,330 All time Malko, 1998 Including 5,230 fatalities93,00–131,000 All time Gofman, 1994b