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Yablokov: Oncological Diseases after Chernobyl 185TABLE 6.21. Predicted Incidence of CancerCaused by Chernobyl and the Resultant Death Tollin Europe from 1986 to 2056 (Malko, 2007)Number of casesCountry All FatalitiesBelarus 28,300 17,546Ukraine 28,300 17,546Russia 25,400 15,748Germany 9,280 5,754Romania 5,220 3,236Austria 5,050 3,131Great Britain 4,280 2,654Italy 3,770 2,337Bulgaria 2,920 1,810Sweden 1,980 1,228Greece 1,880 1,166Poland 1,755 1,088Finland 1,600 992Switzerland 1,530 949Czech Republic 1,410 874Moldova 1,320 818France 1,220 756Slovenia 960 595Norway 920 570Slovakia 715 443Croatia 630 391Hungary 625 388Lithuania 420 260Ireland 375 233The Netherlands 135 84Belgium 110 68Spain 80 50Latvia 75 47Denmark 70 43Estonia 60 37Luxembourg 15 9European total 130,405 89,851Included figures 82,000 50,840for Belarus, Ukraine,and European Russiawhich is still in evidence, in the incidence ofvarious malignant neoplasms in all of the territoriessubjected to Chernobyl fallout—thatis, where adequate studies have been carriedout.Even the incomplete data now available indicatethe specific character of cancers causedby Chernobyl. The onset of many cancers begannotafter20years,asinHiroshimaandNagasaki, but in only a few years after theexplosion. The assumption (e.g., Pryasyaznjuket al., 2007) that Chernobyl’s radioactive influenceon the incidence of malignant neoplasmswill be much weaker than that of the Hiroshimaand Nagasaki radiation is very doubtful. InChernobyl’s contaminated territories the radioactiveimpact may be even greater becauseof its duration and character, especially becauseof irradiation from internally absorbedradioisotopes.The number of illnesses and deaths determinedby Malko’s (2007) calculations cannotbe dismissed as grossly overestimated: 10,000–40,000 additional deaths from thyroid cancer,40,000–120,000 deaths from the other malignanttumors, and 5,000–14,000 deaths fromleukemia, for a total of 55,000 to 174,000deaths for the “Chernobyl generation” from1986 to 2056.ReferencesAbdelrahman, R. (2007). Swedes still dying from Chernobylradiation. The Local-Sweden’s News in English(//www.thelocal.se/7200/20070504/).Annual Report (2006). Industrial Catastrophes andLong-Term Surveillance. Surveillance of ThyroidCancer: Twenty Years after Chernobyl.French Institute for Public Health Surveillance.(//www.invs.sante.fr/presentations/edito_en_htm).Anonymous (2005). Even nowadays they are doing theirbest to cover the truth of Chernobyl. November 26(www.chernobyl-portal.org.ua) (in Russian).Associated Press (2000). Study cites Chernobyl health effectsin Poland. April 26, Warsaw, Poland 12:39:09.Barylyak, I. R. & Diomyna, E. A. (2003). Morbidity analysisamong the participants of Chernobyl NPP accidentliquidation. Bull. Ukr. Soc. Genet. Breeders 1: 107–120 (in Ukrainian).Belookaya, T. V., Koryt’ko, S. S. & Mel’nov, S. B.(2002). Medical effects of low doses of ionizing radiation.In: Fourth International Congress on IntegratedAnthropology (Materials, St. Petersburg): pp. 24–25 (inRussian).Borysevich, N. Y. & Poplyko, I. Y. (2002). Scientificsolution of Chernobyl problems. Year 2001results (Radiology Institute, Minsk): 44 pp. (inRussian).Brown, P. (2000). 50,000 extra Chernobyl cancers predicted.The Guardian, April 26.