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Unpacking the Mystery of Mediation in African Peace ... - Swisspeace

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<strong>Unpack<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Mystery</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Mediation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>African</strong> <strong>Peace</strong> Processes<br />

<strong>in</strong>g a directive if not manipulative style <strong>of</strong> mediation.<br />

Process design: Process design <strong>in</strong>cludes questions<br />

<strong>of</strong> venue, participation, phases, agenda, etc. Most<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> longer processes had long pre-talks aimed<br />

at secur<strong>in</strong>g agreements on <strong>the</strong> process design and<br />

a clear framework before beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g discussions<br />

on substance. Some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> shorter processes we<br />

looked at, e.g., Somalia Khartoum negotiations,<br />

North-Mali/North-Niger – Tuareg negotiations,<br />

however, seem to have lacked a clear design, and<br />

were <strong>in</strong>stead organized <strong>in</strong> an ad-hoc fashion. The<br />

cases highlight a creative mix <strong>of</strong> possible formats<br />

<strong>in</strong> many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> processes: The Congo/Kivu process<br />

consisted <strong>of</strong> a conference <strong>of</strong> 1,500 people that<br />

was held <strong>in</strong> parallel with small meet<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> 50<br />

people. The Uganda-LRA process featured numerous<br />

parallel formats (<strong>the</strong> Juba negotiations,<br />

talks <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bush or via telephone, civil society<br />

participation <strong>in</strong> Juba, and visits <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> LRA delegates<br />

to Kampala and Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Uganda), seek<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to overcome <strong>the</strong> limitations that were imposed on<br />

<strong>the</strong> process. The Burundi Arusha negotiations<br />

featured five committees on various topics work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> parallel, each mediated by different comediators,<br />

and responsible to <strong>the</strong> overall secretariat<br />

under <strong>the</strong> presidency <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> chief mediator.<br />

The Sudan North-South negotiations comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

plenary meet<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> two ma<strong>in</strong> parties, i.e., <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

about 12 people on each delegation, with<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g groups on topics and face-to-face meet<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

between <strong>the</strong> heads <strong>of</strong> delegations. Overall,<br />

<strong>the</strong> cases <strong>in</strong>dicate that a good process design is extremely<br />

helpful, as long as it is also flexible<br />

enough to adapt to unfold<strong>in</strong>g events and chang<strong>in</strong>g<br />

contexts.<br />

In summary, <strong>the</strong> cases seem to <strong>in</strong>dicate that most<br />

mediators use a mix <strong>of</strong> non-directive and directive<br />

mediation styles. The style changes depend<strong>in</strong>g on<br />

<strong>the</strong> phase <strong>of</strong> a process. The chief mediator may<br />

also use a directive or even manipulative style, but<br />

<strong>in</strong> this case, he relies on a team <strong>of</strong> mediators that<br />

may well use a facilitative style at <strong>the</strong> same time,<br />

build<strong>in</strong>g confidence with <strong>the</strong> parties. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />

pressure may come from external parties<br />

and observers, allow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> mediator to adopt a<br />

more facilitative approach. In short: Pressure and<br />

dialogue must be comb<strong>in</strong>ed. In addition to direct<br />

18<br />

pressure imposed by external actors, external actors<br />

may also have <strong>the</strong>ir own agenda, which may<br />

at times even be antagonistic to <strong>the</strong> substance <strong>of</strong><br />

what <strong>the</strong> two conflict parties can agree on. In<br />

such cases, mediators do not only deal with <strong>the</strong><br />

conflict between <strong>the</strong> parties, but also come under<br />

pressure from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational community. As<br />

far as <strong>the</strong> question <strong>of</strong> tim<strong>in</strong>g is concerned, <strong>the</strong><br />

mediators are <strong>of</strong>ten not <strong>in</strong> control. In most processes,<br />

<strong>the</strong> timeframes are shaped by external actors<br />

and even fund<strong>in</strong>g constra<strong>in</strong>ts. The Darfur process<br />

went through a procession <strong>of</strong> missed deadl<strong>in</strong>es<br />

until <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al deadl<strong>in</strong>e forced <strong>the</strong> parties to accelerate<br />

beyond <strong>the</strong>ir pace. The time pressure imposed<br />

by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational community is understandable,<br />

but if it disrupts <strong>the</strong> process and causes<br />

a resumption <strong>of</strong> war, it is counter-productive.<br />

Conclusions<br />

The cases cover a broad range <strong>of</strong> mediators, mediation<br />

styles, and forms <strong>of</strong> participation. Never<strong>the</strong>less,<br />

we can identify some patterns and advance<br />

tentative hypo<strong>the</strong>ses:<br />

First, <strong>the</strong> geo-political context and <strong>in</strong>terests <strong>of</strong> neighbor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

states set <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>in</strong> which a peace<br />

process takes place: <strong>Peace</strong> processes occur between<br />

<strong>the</strong> conflict parties directly concerned. If <strong>the</strong><br />

global or regional states h<strong>in</strong>der any agreement between<br />

<strong>the</strong>se actors, however, it is highly unlikely<br />

that <strong>the</strong> peace process will be effective. In such<br />

cases, pressure on, and dialog with, <strong>the</strong> regional<br />

states is needed, as now for example <strong>in</strong> Darfur. A<br />

modicum <strong>of</strong> agreement between <strong>the</strong> regional actors<br />

and amongst great powers such as <strong>the</strong> US,<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a, and Russia is an essential pre-condition<br />

for a successful peace process. <strong>Mediation</strong> is not<br />

<strong>the</strong> only tool needed to make peace; it must be<br />

seen as one among o<strong>the</strong>rs, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g economic<br />

sanctions, military peace support operations,<br />

longer-term development cooperation and peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Second, <strong>African</strong> conflicts are typically mediated by<br />

<strong>African</strong> chief mediators, supported by <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

experts and f<strong>in</strong>ances: Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> chief mediators<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> cases we exam<strong>in</strong>ed were <strong>African</strong>s, yet <strong>the</strong><br />

teams support<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m <strong>in</strong>cluded various organizations<br />

(states, regional and <strong>in</strong>ternational organi-

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