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Nuclear Energy

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matters of negotiations”. cdxliii Meaning, that the government has agreed to buy the reactor, without<br />

finalising the price! Clearly, the government has something big to hide. Let us take a closer look at<br />

the Areva deal.<br />

Newsreports have estimated the cost of the two reactors to be about 7.0 billion euros (9.3<br />

billion dollars).cdxliv However, this seems to be a big underestimate. The contract price of the 1600<br />

MW EPR being constructed in Finland was €3.2bn when the agreement was signed in December<br />

2003; as in June 2010, its cost had escalated to around 5.9 billion euros, and the reactor was only<br />

halfway to completion.cdxlv Obviously, the final cost is going to be much more. Even assuming<br />

that each Jaitapur reactor is going to cost this much, that is 5.9 billion euros, then, taking the current<br />

Euro-Rupee exchange rate as in January 2011 of Rs. 59 = 1 euro, this means each reactor should<br />

cost at the minimum Rs. 34,800 crores! That works out to a whopping Rs. 21 crores per megawatt<br />

(MW), as compared to Rs. 5 crores per MW for coal-fired plants!!<br />

The total installed capacity of the Jaitapur plant when all six reactors are constructed is<br />

going to be 9900 MW. At Rs. 21 cr/MW, this means the plant is going to cost a mind-boggling Rs.<br />

2 lakh crores! The cost of an equivalent coal-fired plant would be just Rs. 50,000 crores, implying a<br />

saving of Rs. 1.5 lakh crores!!<br />

Given this huge capital cost, what will be the unit cost of electricity from the plant? No one,<br />

right from the Prime Minister to the Chairperson of NPCIL, is willing to discuss it. Areva's CEO,<br />

Anne Lauvergeon, in an interview to The Hindu on November 25, 2010, asserted that it would<br />

definitely be below Rs. 4 a unit!cdxlvi This is obviously ludicrous. More realistic estimates put the<br />

cost of electricity from the Jaitapur nuclear plant at least Rs. 7-9 per unit: Prabir Purkayastha, the<br />

well-known power sector analyst, estimates the cost of electricity assuming the plant is going to<br />

cost Rs. 20 cr/MW to be Rs. 7-8 per unitcdxlvii; Dr. Vivek Monteiro, a well known physicist who<br />

holds a doctorate from Harvard University, estimates that the cost would be at least Rs. 9 a<br />

cdxlviii; Gopal Krishna, a member of Toxicswatch Alliance, also estimates it at Rs. 9 a unit.cdxlix<br />

unit<br />

Of course, these cost estimates do not take into account the subsidies to nuclear power<br />

discussed above, like decommissioning costs, waste management costs, etc.<br />

Clearly, the cost of electricity from the imported reactors is going to be even greater than<br />

that from Enron's Dabhol Power Plant in Maharashtra, which made MSEB virtually bankrupt. If<br />

the government succeeds in its plans of setting up a string of nuclear parks along the coast, India is<br />

going to be saddled with dozens of nuclear Enrons.<br />

<strong>Nuclear</strong> Liability Bill: Indemnifying Foreign Suppliers<br />

The costs of nuclear electricity are so huge, that the foreign vendors are still not satisfied<br />

with these subsidies. American reactor suppliers like General Electric and Westinghouse grunted<br />

that they will not invest until India gives them a sovereign guarantee that the entire liability of any<br />

potential catastrophe is borne solely by Indians, in other words, that they will not be held liable<br />

for any accident at the plants supplied by them – they are aware that it could bankrupt them. And<br />

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