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Nuclear Energy

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• Shutdowns of aged plants will lead to a decrease in the total number of reactors, and there<br />

will be a significant decline in installed capacity and electricity generation from nuclear<br />

power plants.<br />

• Compared to the reference level of March 2009, the number of nuclear power stations in<br />

operation worldwide is likely to decrease by 22% by the year 2020, and by about 29% by<br />

the year 2030.<br />

• Even by comparison to the forecast rapid growth in world-wide electricity consumption,<br />

nuclear energy will decline significantly in importance by the year 2030. The percentage of<br />

world-wide electricity generation accounted for by nuclear energy will decline from 14.8%<br />

in the year 2006 to an estimated 9.1% in the year 2020, and to 7.1% in the year 2030.<br />

ii) The CIGI Report ccclxxvii<br />

In February 2010, the Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), an<br />

independent non-partisan think tank based in Canada and supported by the Government of Canada,<br />

released the main report of its <strong>Nuclear</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> Futures (NEF) project: The Future of <strong>Nuclear</strong><br />

<strong>Energy</strong> to 2030 and Its Implications for Safety, Security and Nonproliferation. The report was the<br />

culmination of three-and-a-half years of research into the purported nuclear energy revival and its<br />

implications for global governance.<br />

The report concludes that there are significant barriers to the revival of nuclear energy in the<br />

near future, till at least 2030. The key barriers identified by are the same as those that we have<br />

discussed above:<br />

2. Unfavourable economics compared to other sources of energy<br />

3. <strong>Nuclear</strong> energy is too slow to address climate change and to compete with cheaper<br />

alternative means of tackling it<br />

4. Demands for energy efficiency are leading to fundamental rethinking of how electricity is<br />

generated and distributed<br />

5. The nuclear waste issue remains unresolved with no country currently implementing a<br />

sustainable solution<br />

6. Growing fears about safety, security and nuclear weapons remain in the public<br />

consciousness<br />

7. Developing countries face additional constraints, including inadequate infrastructure, poor<br />

governance, deficient regulatory systems and finance.<br />

94

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