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Advanced Boiling Water Reactors (ABWR) developed in Japan. clxxxi By the end of 2009, four<br />

ABWRs were in service and two under construction in Taiwan. Total construction costs for the first<br />

two Japanese units were reported to be $3,236/kW for the first unit in 1997 dollars and about<br />

$2,800/kW for the second. These costs are well above the forecast range. These units have also<br />

suffered design problems in the turbine, implying that a new turbine design will be required, which<br />

might take several years. clxxxii While no Generation III+ reactor has ever been built; only one<br />

Generation III+ reactor design is under construction, Areva’s EPR, one at Olkiluoto in Finland, one<br />

at Flamanville in France, and two in Taishan in China. Obviously, nothing is known about what<br />

will be the operating cost of this design; while all that we know about its construction costs is that<br />

these have sharply escalated as work has progressed (see below).<br />

Estimates by Independent Institutions<br />

Over the past decade many independent institutions have conducted systematic and detailed<br />

studies of nuclear plant costs, and their assessments contradict the claims of the nuclear industry.<br />

We give below the results of some of these studies, done by well-respected bodies.<br />

A report from the New Economics Foundation, an independent British think tank founded in<br />

1986 by the leaders of The Other Economic Summit (TOES), titled “Mirage and Oasis: <strong>Energy</strong><br />

Choices in an Age of Global Warming” concluded that the cost of nuclear power has been<br />

underestimated by almost a factor of three. clxxxiii Another study by the US Department of <strong>Energy</strong>'s<br />

(DOE) <strong>Energy</strong> Information Administration concluded that nuclear power is more costly than natural<br />

gas and coal plants. clxxxiv A University of Chicago study in 2004 also came to the same<br />

conclusion. clxxxv<br />

In May 2006, in response to the so-called ‘<strong>Nuclear</strong> Renaissance’, the Centre for<br />

International Governance Innovation based in Canada, (an independent think tank led by a group of<br />

distinguished academics and supported by the Government of Canada) initiated the ‘<strong>Nuclear</strong> <strong>Energy</strong><br />

Futures Project’ to investigate the likely size, shape and nature of the purported nuclear energy<br />

revival to 2030. Its report in February 2010 concluded that one of the important factors<br />

constraining the expansion of nuclear energy was its economics: “The economics are profoundly<br />

unfavourable and are getting worse. This will persist unless governments provide greater<br />

incentives...” clxxxvi<br />

MIT Updated Study 2009<br />

Probably the most sophisticated and widely cited study on the economics of nuclear power<br />

is a 2003 study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (a pro-nuclear institution) titled<br />

“Future of <strong>Nuclear</strong> Power”, which was updated in 2009 to take into consideration the sharp increase<br />

in construction costs of nuclear as well as coal and gas fired power plants. This study concluded that<br />

the “levelised” cost of electricity clxxxvii generated by a new nuclear power plant is about 30-35%<br />

higher than the cost of electricity from a coal fired or combined cycle gas turbine plant. clxxxviii<br />

58

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