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Full set of Notes with Fill-Ins - San Jose State University

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Chem 155 Unit 1 Page 19 <strong>of</strong> 3161.1.10 Confidence Interval (CI) in WordsConsider thisexperiment. You havea camera device thatmeasures thetemperature <strong>of</strong> objectsfrom a distance bymeasuring theirinfrared light emission.It is very convenientbut somewhat97.5, 96.0,99.197.32398.05599.051imprecise. Assume for the moment that the camera is perfectlyaccurate – that is, if you measure the same object <strong>with</strong> it many timesthe average temperature result will equal the true temperature.In order to evaluate the precision <strong>of</strong> your camera thermometer, youmeasure the temperature <strong>of</strong> each item three times. In each case youget an average and a standard deviation.PROBLEM 1: The average camera reading is sometimes higher thanthe true value, and sometimes lower, but you don’t know how toevaluate this fluctuation. In just a few words, how can youcharacterize this fluctuation?SOLUTION 1:Calculate the sample standard deviation.PROBLEM 2: A series <strong>of</strong> experiments, each <strong>of</strong> three measurementseach yields a <strong>set</strong> <strong>of</strong> sample standard deviations that also differenteach time! If you repeat the whole experiment, but this time youmeasure each sample ten times, then the standard deviations aremuch closer, but still not equal each time.Why does the sample standard deviation calculation give a differentresult each time? Assume for the moment that the cameraperformance (precision) is not changing.SOLUTION 2:Realize this fact: Sample standard deviations areonly estimates.Page 19 <strong>of</strong> 316

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