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PERCOLATION AND DISORDERED SYSTEMS Geoffrey GRIMMETT

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166 <strong>Geoffrey</strong> Grimmett<br />

∂B(n)<br />

0<br />

e<br />

f(e)<br />

Fig. 4.4. Inside the box B(n), the edge e is pivotal for the event {0 ↔ ∂B(n)}. By<br />

altering the configuration inside the smaller box, we may construct a configuration<br />

in which f(e) is pivotal instead.<br />

f = 〈u, u + e1 + e2〉, where e1 and e2 are unit vectors in the directions of the<br />

(increasing) x and y axes.<br />

We claim that there exists a function h(p, s), strictly positive on (0, 1) 2 ,<br />

such that<br />

(4.10) h(p, s)Pp,s(e is pivotal for An) ≤ Pp,s(f(e) is pivotal for An)<br />

for all e lying in B(n). Once this is shown, we sum over e to obtain by (4.9)<br />

that<br />

h(p, s) ∂<br />

∂p θn(p, s) ≤ �<br />

e∈E 2<br />

Pp,s(f(e) is pivotal for An)<br />

≤ 2 �<br />

Pp,s(f is pivotal for An)<br />

f∈F<br />

= 2 ∂<br />

∂s θn(p, s)<br />

as required. The factor 2 arises because, for each f (∈ F), there are exactly<br />

two edges e with f(e) = f.<br />

Finally, we indicate the reason for (4.10). Let us consider the event<br />

{e is pivotalfor An}. We claim that there exists an integer M, chosen uniformly<br />

for edges e in B(n) and for all large n, such that<br />

(a) all paths from 0 to ∂B(n) pass through the region e + B(M)<br />

(b) by altering the configuration within e+B(M) only, we may obtain an<br />

event on which f(e) is pivotal for An.<br />

This claim is proved by inspecting Figure 4.4. A special argument may<br />

be needed when the box e + B(M) either contains the origin or intersects<br />

∂B(n), but such special arguments pose no substantial difficulty. Once this<br />

geometrical claim is accepted, (4.10) follows thus. Write Eg for the event that<br />

the edge g is pivotal for An. For ω ∈ Ee, let ω ′ = ω ′ (ω) be the configuration

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