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PERCOLATION AND DISORDERED SYSTEMS Geoffrey GRIMMETT

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228 <strong>Geoffrey</strong> Grimmett<br />

x<br />

Fig. 9.3. If there is an open left-right crossing of the box, then there must exist<br />

some vertex x in the centre which is connected disjointly to the left and right sides.<br />

circuit surrounding the origin and contained within B(n). In particular, no<br />

dual annulus of the form B(3r+1 )\B(3r ) + ( 1 1<br />

2 , 2 ), for 0 ≤ r < log3 n − 1, can<br />

contain such a closed circuit. Therefore<br />

� � log<br />

(9.7) P1 0 ↔ ∂B(n) ≤ (1 − ξ) 3 n−2<br />

2<br />

as required for the upper bound in (9.6). �<br />

9.3 Conformal Invariance<br />

We concentrate on bond percolation in two dimensions with p = pc = 1<br />

2 .<br />

With S(n) = [0, n + 1] × [0, n], we have by self-duality that<br />

� �<br />

1<br />

(9.8) P1 S(n) traversed from left to right by open path =<br />

2<br />

2<br />

for all n. Certainly L2 must contain long open paths, but no infinite paths<br />

(since θ( 1<br />

2 ) = 0). One of the features of (hypothetical) universality is that<br />

the chances of long-range connections (when p = pc) should be independent<br />

of the choice of lattice structure. In particular, local deformations of<br />

space should, within limits, not affect such probabilities. One family of local<br />

changes arises by local rotations and dilations, and particularly by applying<br />

a conformally invariant mapping to R2 . This suggests the possibility that<br />

long-range crossing probabilities are, in some sense to be explored, invariant<br />

under conformal maps of R2 . (See [8] for an account of conformal maps.)<br />

Such a hypothesis may be formulated, and investigated numerically. Such<br />

a programme has been followed by Langlands, Pouliot, and Saint-Aubin [232]<br />

and Aizenman [10], and their results support the hypothesis. In this summary,<br />

we refer to bond percolation on L2 only, although such conjectures<br />

may be formulated for any two-dimensional percolation model.

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