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PERCOLATION AND DISORDERED SYSTEMS Geoffrey GRIMMETT

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198 <strong>Geoffrey</strong> Grimmett<br />

For n > m, let V (n) = {x ∈ T(n) : x ↔ B(m) in B(n)}. Pick M such<br />

that<br />

� �<br />

1<br />

(7.12) pPp B(m) is a seed > 1 − ( 2η)1/M .<br />

We shall assume for simplicity that 2m + 1 divides n + 1 (and that 2m < n),<br />

and we partition T(n) into disjoint squares with side-length 2m. If |V (n)| ≥<br />

(2m + 1) 2 M then B(m) is joined in B(n) to at least M of these squares.<br />

Therefore, by (7.12),<br />

� �<br />

Pp B(m) ↔ K(m, n) in B(n)<br />

(7.13)<br />

� � � �<br />

≥ 1 − 1 − pPp B(m) is a seed �M� ≥ (1 − 1<br />

2η)Pp � � 2<br />

|V (n)| ≥ (2m + 1) M .<br />

Pp<br />

� |V (n)| ≥ (2m + 1) 2 M �<br />

We now bound the last probability from below. Using the symmetries of<br />

L 3 obtained by reflections in hyperplanes, we see that the face F(n) comprises<br />

four copies of T(n). Now ∂B(n) has six faces, and therefore 24 copies of T(n).<br />

By symmetry and the FKG inequality,<br />

� � � � 2 2 24<br />

(7.14) Pp |U(n)| < 24(2m + 1) M ≥ Pp |V (n)| < (2m + 1) M<br />

where U(n) = {x ∈ ∂B(n) : x ↔ B(m) in B(n)}. Now, with l = 24(2m +<br />

1) 2 M,<br />

� � � � � �<br />

(7.15) Pp |U(n)| < l ≤ Pp |U(n)| < l, B(m) ↔ ∞ + Pp B(m) � ∞ ,<br />

and<br />

(7.16)<br />

� � � �<br />

|U(n)| < l, B(m) ↔ ∞ ≤ Pp 1 ≤ |U(n)| < l<br />

Pp<br />

≤ (1 − p) −3l Pp(U(n + 1) = ∅, U(n) �= ∅)<br />

→ 0 as n → ∞.<br />

(Here we use the fact that U(n + 1) = ∅ if every edge exiting ∂B(n) from<br />

U(n) is closed.)<br />

By (7.14)–(7.16) and (7.11),<br />

� � � � 2 1/24 �<br />

Pp |V (n)| < (2m + 1) M ≤ Pp |U(n)| < l ≤ an + ( 1<br />

3η)24� 1/24<br />

where an → 0 as n → ∞. We pick n such that<br />

Pp<br />

� |V (n)| < (2m + 1) 2 M � ≤ 1<br />

2 η,

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