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ANNUAL REPORT 2008 - Polymer Bank Notes of the World

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Chart 15 MFI loans to households(annual percentage changes)Chart 16 Interest rates for lending tohouseholds and non-financial corporations(percentages per annum; excluding charges; rates on newbusiness)totallending for house purchaseconsumer credito<strong>the</strong>r lendingshort-term rates for lending to non-financial corporationslong-term rates for lending to non-financial corporationsrates for loans to households for house purchaserates for loans to households for consumer credit1414101012129910108888776666445522440033-22001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007-2<strong>2008</strong>22003 2004 2005 2006 2007 <strong>2008</strong>2Source: ECB.Source: ECB.household borrowing in <strong>2008</strong>, declined tostand at 1.8% in December, down from 6.2% at<strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2007. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> annualgrowth rate <strong>of</strong> loans to households by non-MFIs(i.e. OFIs, insurance corporations and pensionfunds) continued to exceed that <strong>of</strong> MFI loans tohouseholds, which stood at 10.4% in <strong>the</strong> thirdquarter <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong>. This partly reflects <strong>the</strong> effect<strong>of</strong> true-sale securitisation activities, whereloans are derecognised and <strong>the</strong>reby removedfrom MFI balance sheets, subsequently beingrecorded as loans from OFIs.A breakdown <strong>of</strong> MFI loans to householdsby purpose indicates that <strong>the</strong> main driver <strong>of</strong>that moderation was <strong>the</strong> declining growthrate <strong>of</strong> borrowing for house purchase. Theannual growth rate <strong>of</strong> loans to households forhouse purchase was 1.7% in December <strong>2008</strong>,having stood at 7.1% in December 2007(see Chart 15). This decline was consistent with<strong>the</strong> slowdowns observed in house price growthand housing market activity in a number <strong>of</strong> euroarea economies. The results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Eurosystem’sbank lending survey support this assessment, asin <strong>the</strong> course <strong>of</strong> <strong>2008</strong> banks identified worseninghousing market prospects and deterioratingconsumer confidence as <strong>the</strong> main factorscontributing to <strong>the</strong> dampening <strong>of</strong> households’demand for loans for house purchase. Moreover,<strong>the</strong> worsening housing market prospects werealso partly responsible for <strong>the</strong> tightening <strong>of</strong>banks’ credit standards, which played animportant role in <strong>the</strong> moderation <strong>of</strong> loan growth.The moderation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> annual growth rate <strong>of</strong>loans for house purchase also reflected <strong>the</strong>dampening impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> increases in key ECBinterest rates as <strong>of</strong> December 2005. Continuing<strong>the</strong> trend observed in 2006 and 2007, althoughat a slower pace, MFI interest rates on loans forhouse purchase rose by 31 basis points betweenDecember 2007 and September/October <strong>2008</strong>,before declining by 10 basis points in <strong>the</strong> fourthquarter (see Chart 16). The increase observedin <strong>the</strong> first three quarters <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> year was broadlybased across <strong>the</strong> maturity spectrum, althoughit was slightly larger for loans with initial ratefixation periods <strong>of</strong> up to one year and betweenone and five years.48 ECBAnnual Report<strong>2008</strong>

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