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ANNUAL REPORT 2008 - Polymer Bank Notes of the World

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Chart C Breakdown <strong>of</strong> employment growthby type <strong>of</strong> contractChart D Part-time work in <strong>the</strong> euro area(in percentage points, unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise indicated)(as a percentage <strong>of</strong> total employment)self-employmentpermanent worktemporary worktotal employment (annual percentage changes)2.52.520202.02.019191.51.518181.01.0171617160.50.515150.00.01414-0.5-0.52001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 <strong>2008</strong>Source: Eurostat.13132000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 <strong>2008</strong>Source: Eurostat.<strong>the</strong> more detached <strong>the</strong>y become from <strong>the</strong> labour market. As it becomes increasingly difficult for<strong>the</strong>se people to find work, long-term unemployment is likely to increase.Under such circumstances, labour market measures need to avoid a structural deterioration inunemployment levels and a reduction in long-term labour force participation. Such measuresshould include policies to support wage flexibility and foster wage moderation, not leastthrough <strong>the</strong> abolition or overhaul <strong>of</strong> wage indexation schemes. Such policies would reducecost pressures on firms, enhance competitiveness and support employment. Reforms whichenhance <strong>the</strong> effectiveness and efficiency <strong>of</strong> active labour market policies would make it easierfor <strong>the</strong> unemployed to (re)train and find new jobs. With regard to those in employment, policiespermitting greater flexibility in fine-tuning working hours could give firms some leeway toreduce working hours without losing human capital through lay-<strong>of</strong>fs. Labour market reformsmust be implemented with a view to improving <strong>the</strong> resilience <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> euro area economy to <strong>the</strong>crisis and creating a favourable environment for recovery and long-term economic growth andjob creation.2.5 FISCAL DEVELOPMENTSREVERSAL IN BUDGETARY POSITIONS IN <strong>2008</strong>The relatively favourable fiscal outcomesachieved in recent years were partly reversedin <strong>2008</strong> as <strong>the</strong> financial crisis unfolded and <strong>the</strong>macroeconomic environment deteriorated rapidly.According to <strong>the</strong> European Commission’s interimforecast <strong>of</strong> January 2009, <strong>the</strong> average generalgovernment balance in <strong>the</strong> euro area worsenedfrom -0.6% <strong>of</strong> GDP in 2007 to -1.7% in <strong>2008</strong>(see Table 5). The deficit increase is accountedfor by lower revenue, also owing to tax cuts, andhigher primary expenditure, in <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> aslowdown in economic activity. The impact <strong>of</strong>government interventions to stabilise <strong>the</strong> financialsystem on <strong>the</strong> <strong>2008</strong> deficit was negligible.In Ireland, Greece, Spain, France and Malta, <strong>the</strong>government deficit rose above <strong>the</strong> 3% <strong>of</strong> GDPreference value in <strong>2008</strong>, whereas in 2007 onlyGreece had a deficit higher than 3% <strong>of</strong> GDP. TheECBAnnual Report<strong>2008</strong>69

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