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The Little Village Gang Violence Reduction Project in Chicago

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gone through a treatment program (p = 0.026). Possible <strong>Project</strong>-related treatment effects havenot been helpful. <strong>The</strong> eleven-variable model predicts 44.0% of variance (Table 12.5).A comb<strong>in</strong>ation of opportunity, deterrent, social-control, and differential-associationvariables seems to provide the best predictors for reduced levels of drug arrests. Hold<strong>in</strong>g a job isimportant. <strong>The</strong> more household members who have gone to jail provides a deterrent effect.Seek<strong>in</strong>g to settle down with a girlfriend or marriage partner aga<strong>in</strong> is a positive motivat<strong>in</strong>g factor.<strong>The</strong> gang youth who is satisfied with [conditions <strong>in</strong>] the community is a candidate for <strong>in</strong>creaseddrug crime arrests. Higher levels of educational opportunities do not necessarily contribute toreduced drug crime.In sum, employment seems universally to reduce del<strong>in</strong>quency and crime, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g drugarrests. Marriage or a steady girlfriend seem to be strong factors <strong>in</strong> the reduction of bothviolence and drug arrests. <strong>The</strong> <strong>Project</strong> appears to have had a considerable direct effect <strong>in</strong>lower<strong>in</strong>g rates of total arrests and serious violence arrests but not drug arrests, at least based onpredictors derived from our gang-member survey and police-arrest data. We f<strong>in</strong>d the same lackof <strong>Project</strong> success when we more closely exam<strong>in</strong>e different service effects on different types ofprogram youth <strong>in</strong> Chapter 14.<strong>The</strong>re is no magic bullet, or s<strong>in</strong>gle set of life circumstances, for the reduction of gangcrime. Thus, a somewhat different cluster of program strategies and elements may be required tofacilitate legitimate conventional socialization and maturation <strong>in</strong> the life space, or socialrelationships, of gang youth who may have different problems at different time periods.Influence of the Program on Key Life-Space/Life-Course Variables12.14

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