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The Little Village Gang Violence Reduction Project in Chicago

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of the specific types of services provided by the <strong>Project</strong> youth workers <strong>in</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g patterns ofarrests for the different types of program youth.In this analysis, we use data from the larger worker-track<strong>in</strong>g-record subsample of youth(n = 154) (for whom we also have police arrest data), rather than from the smaller debrief<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>terviewsubsample of youth (n = 65). Us<strong>in</strong>g summary worker-track<strong>in</strong>g data provides arepresentative sample of program youth and youth-worker efforts. <strong>The</strong> track<strong>in</strong>g data werecollected at three po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> time dur<strong>in</strong>g the entire <strong>Project</strong> period, although with less narrativedetail than the debrief<strong>in</strong>g data. However, we must elim<strong>in</strong>ate 26 of the 154 youth <strong>in</strong> the workertrack<strong>in</strong>gsample s<strong>in</strong>ce they have no violence or drug arrests (although they self-reported a varietyof offenses, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g violence and drugs – usually at a lower level of frequency than arrestedyouth). This leaves us with a sample of 128 youth from the two targeted groups <strong>in</strong> <strong>Little</strong> <strong>Village</strong>– Lat<strong>in</strong> K<strong>in</strong>gs (n = 60) and Two Six (n = 68) – for whom we have both arrest and programservicedata.Success and Failure Rates of Program YouthBefore we present our Logistic Regression models of the odds of success to failure ofdifferent types of gang youth <strong>in</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g their arrests <strong>in</strong> response to specific program servicesand strategies, we provide summary f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs on the success and failure rates of all youth(<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g program, comparison and quasi-program youth: N = 410) <strong>in</strong> lower<strong>in</strong>g arrests –without exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the effects of specific services provided. We apply multivariate controls forthe youth’s age, gang-affiliation and arrestee typology, but not pre-program arrests, s<strong>in</strong>ce oursample size is too small to accommodate all of our control variables and we already know that14.3

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