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SHAPING THE FUTURE HOW CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS CAN POWER HUMAN DEVELOPMENT

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REALIZING <strong>THE</strong> FULL<br />

PROMISE OF URBANIZATION<br />

How countries and cities respond to the challenges<br />

of urban poverty and inequality, pollution and<br />

climate change, and governance will determine<br />

whether or not they deliver broad-based human<br />

development and optimize benefits from the<br />

demographic transition. The current exclusion<br />

of large segments of urban residents from the<br />

economic, social and political life of cities needs<br />

to be reversed, because it is unjust, and contradicts<br />

the Agenda 2030 emphasis on inclusive<br />

development. By depriving some groups of basic<br />

human capabilities and rights—to be educated,<br />

healthy and earn a decent income—it also undercuts<br />

the potential for higher productivity and<br />

making the most of the demographic dividend.<br />

Governments and all others with a stake<br />

in a liveable urban future will need to commit<br />

to improved services, the generation of decent<br />

employment and extended protection measures,<br />

particularly for the most marginalized. This<br />

includes as well a sustainable urban environment<br />

that supports the health of all citizens, and<br />

manages resources so that they are equitably<br />

available for generations now and in the future.<br />

Where cities fail to ensure urban inclusion<br />

and liveability, they can end up with a<br />

growing class of urban poor and deepening<br />

social division. Urban populations will likely<br />

continue to split along class lines, where the<br />

middle- and upper-classes will enjoy well-paying<br />

jobs, high-quality health care and schools, a<br />

clean supply of water, and safe housing in clean<br />

neighbourhoods. The poor will be marginalized<br />

to the worst work and living areas, without<br />

equal access to high-quality services, and with<br />

diminishing capabilities. This does not have<br />

to be the future of Asia-Pacific’s cities—but it<br />

may be, without timely and deliberate policy<br />

interventions.<br />

FORMULATE COMPREHENSIVE<br />

NATIONAL URBAN STRATEGIES<br />

National and local governments need to become<br />

more strategic and sensitive to the full range of<br />

threats and opportunities posed by rapid urbanization,<br />

with the speed at which it is occurring<br />

leaving little time for adjusting or learning. A<br />

clear, far-sighted view of where cities should<br />

head is key, and a national strategy on the role<br />

of urbanization in national development is<br />

a first step forward. It could help to identify<br />

urban development priorities, provide national<br />

and regional spatial plans, and better coordinate<br />

actions by national and local actors, including<br />

the private sector.<br />

Under it, governments at all levels can help<br />

cities become more equitable, efficient, sustainable<br />

and environmentally friendly, including<br />

through making informed trade-offs on the use<br />

of scarce resources such as land and water. The<br />

strategy should be linked to overcoming governance<br />

fragmentation in public policy formulation<br />

and implementation, as key to addressing issues<br />

such as disorderly expansion in urban peripheries.<br />

A sound property rights protection system and<br />

transparent land registry are critical in leveraging<br />

rapid urbanization for economic development.<br />

Plan land use to connect urban and rural areas.<br />

This should be an integral aim of national urban<br />

strategies. The various disparities between<br />

rural and urban areas, in particular, suggest<br />

the need for an ‘evening out’ process, including<br />

through targeted investments and an equitable<br />

distribution of resources to help reduce spatial<br />

inequalities. A broader territorial perspective can<br />

emphasize stronger connectivity between cities,<br />

towns and rural areas, and promote two-way<br />

links, including to foster economic opportunities<br />

and enhanced quality of life in rural areas.<br />

Urbanization could catalyse rural economic<br />

development by pulling large numbers of underemployed<br />

and unemployed rural workers<br />

into urban areas. Market and other urban-rural<br />

connections could help stimulate the development<br />

and application of modern farming<br />

practices, and the growth of vibrant rural nonfarm<br />

activities. Investments in better services<br />

and enhanced human capital in rural areas can<br />

also yield benefits, including to slow the tide of<br />

rural-urban migrants 49 where that is warranted,<br />

and to ensure that if people do choose to move,<br />

they have skills to compete for well-paying jobs<br />

in urban areas and can contribute to labour<br />

productivity and thus economic growth. 50<br />

In some sense, the region cannot get its urbanization<br />

strategy right without fundamentally<br />

Rapid urbanization<br />

calls for proactive<br />

planning and sound<br />

management<br />

171

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