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SHAPING THE FUTURE HOW CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS CAN POWER HUMAN DEVELOPMENT

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FIGURE 2.8:<br />

Growth in labour productivity has been rapid<br />

Source: Based on ILO 2015a.<br />

FIGURE 2.9:<br />

Many jobs remain in agriculture, while the<br />

share in manufacturing lags<br />

low wages in the region (Figure 2.10). Twenty-four<br />

percent of working people in South Asia<br />

earn less than $1.25 a day, while 61 percent earn<br />

less than $2 a day—meaning they are trapped<br />

in dire poverty even as they are working. In<br />

Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Nepal and Pakistan,<br />

more than 80 percent of working people<br />

earn less than $4 daily. The size of the middle<br />

class, or workers earning from $4 to $13 a day,<br />

is growing in Bhutan, Maldives and Sri Lanka,<br />

but is still small in other parts of South Asia.<br />

A growing middle class adds an extra boost to<br />

growth and human development.<br />

In South-east Asia and the Pacific, 11 percent<br />

of working people take home less than $1.25<br />

a day, while another 32 percent earn less than<br />

$2 a day. Even where most people live above<br />

the poverty line, many workers hover near it,<br />

earning between $2 and $4 a day. Fifty percent<br />

of workers fall into this category in Cambodia,<br />

Indonesia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic,<br />

Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea,<br />

Timor-Leste and Viet Nam. They are highly<br />

vulnerable to shocks and could easily fall back<br />

into poverty.<br />

East Asia is better off, mainly due to progress<br />

in China in creating better-paid jobs. The<br />

middle class there has grown rapidly; more than<br />

40 percent of working people now earn between<br />

FIGURE 2.10:<br />

Low-skilled jobs lead to low wages<br />

and poverty traps<br />

Source: Based on ILO 2015a.<br />

tration, real estate, transport, and wholesale and<br />

retail trade. Modern service sectors, including<br />

finance, business consulting, IT and research,<br />

have yet to take off, although the IT sector in<br />

India has expanded rapidly, while the Philippines<br />

attracts a huge number of outsourced telecommunication<br />

services. Except for in China; Hong<br />

Kong, China (SAR); the Republic of Korea<br />

and Singapore, the productivity of the service<br />

sector is around 30 percent, lower than that of<br />

OECD countries. 6<br />

The prevalence of low-skilled jobs explains<br />

Source: Based on ILO 2015a.<br />

57

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