SHAPING THE FUTURE HOW CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS CAN POWER HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
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<strong>HUMAN</strong> <strong>DEVELOPMENT</strong><br />
IMPROVES RAPIDLY,<br />
BUT UNEVENLY, ACROSS<br />
ASIA-PACIFIC<br />
Human Development Index (HDI) values—<br />
which reflect achievements in income, education<br />
and health—have steadily risen in all<br />
regions in the world. Globally, between 1990<br />
and 2014, more than 2 billion people rose above<br />
low levels of human development; more than<br />
a billion escaped extreme poverty. 3 Most live<br />
in Asia-Pacific, although the current state of<br />
human development in the region as a whole<br />
presents a mixed picture.<br />
Among developing regions worldwide, South<br />
Asia has made the fastest human development<br />
progress with an average annual growth rate<br />
in HDI values of 1.4 percent compared to the<br />
world average of 0.7 percent in the last 25 years.<br />
It is followed by East Asia and the Pacific with<br />
a rate of 1.3 percent. 4 Despite such impressive<br />
progress, however, both subregions still lag<br />
behind Latin America and the Caribbean, and<br />
Europe and Central Asia. South Asia is also<br />
behind the Arab States (Figure 1.1).<br />
Among 36 Asia-Pacific countries and territories<br />
with available data, 5 18 have high or very<br />
high HDI values, 12 countries have medium<br />
values, and 6 countries have low values. 6 In<br />
recent decades, many least developed countries<br />
in Asia-Pacific—Afghanistan, Bangladesh,<br />
Cambodia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic,<br />
Myanmar and Nepal—have made the most<br />
rapid progress on human development, albeit<br />
from a lower base. Between 2009 and 2014, 20<br />
Asia-Pacific countries witnessed an improvement<br />
BOX 1.1:<br />
Major global agreements link population and development<br />
In 1994, the International Conference on Population<br />
and Development, held in Cairo, explicitly<br />
drew attention—for the first time—to the dynamic<br />
relationship between population and development.<br />
Its Programme of Action advocated “appropriate<br />
policies to meet the needs of current generations<br />
without compromising the ability of future generations<br />
to meet their own needs” (UNFPA 2014b,<br />
paragraph 3.1). It called for investing in individual<br />
human rights, capabilities and dignity throughout<br />
the human lifetime.<br />
More recently, at the 2012 United Nations Conference<br />
on Sustainable Development, governments<br />
globally committed to “seize the opportunities and<br />
address the challenges associated with demographic<br />
change” (United Nations 2012c, paragraph<br />
144). In 2014, at the 20-year review of the Cairo<br />
conference, they overwhelmingly supported an<br />
action plan “safeguarding the rights of young people<br />
and investing in their quality education, decent<br />
employment opportunities, effective livelihood<br />
skills and access to sexual and reproductive health”<br />
(UNFPA 2014c, executive summary).<br />
The international community in 2015 affirmed, in<br />
Agenda 2030, a set of Sustainable Development<br />
Goals and targets that incorporate population elements.<br />
The SDGs come at a time when Asia-Pacific<br />
countries are experiencing powerful population<br />
shifts, including continued population growth,<br />
youth bulges, ageing and significant changes<br />
associated with migration, urbanization and family<br />
dynamics. These issues have many implications for<br />
the achievement of the SDGs by their agreed 2030<br />
endpoint. Demographic patterns affect almost all<br />
of the priorities in the goals, including economic<br />
growth, labour markets, income distribution, poverty,<br />
social protection, pensions, health, education,<br />
gender equality, food security, energy, environmental<br />
protection, and climate change mitigation<br />
and adaptation.<br />
Demographic changes played an important role in<br />
the success of East Asia’s ‘tiger’ economies. Other<br />
Asia-Pacific countries now have a similar historic<br />
opportunity to leverage demographics for human<br />
development, and to guide development to exert<br />
positive impacts on demographics. By anticipating<br />
and planning for the changes ahead, all countries<br />
can address challenges and harness opportunities<br />
to realize greater human well-being and contribute<br />
to a more sustainable world.<br />
South Asia has made<br />
the fastest recent<br />
human development<br />
progress, but lags<br />
behind many regions<br />
of the world<br />
Sources: UNFPA 2014b, United Nations 2015a, United Nations 2012c, UNFPA 2014c.<br />
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