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SHAPING THE FUTURE HOW CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS CAN POWER HUMAN DEVELOPMENT

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<strong>HUMAN</strong> <strong>DEVELOPMENT</strong><br />

IMPROVES RAPIDLY,<br />

BUT UNEVENLY, ACROSS<br />

ASIA-PACIFIC<br />

Human Development Index (HDI) values—<br />

which reflect achievements in income, education<br />

and health—have steadily risen in all<br />

regions in the world. Globally, between 1990<br />

and 2014, more than 2 billion people rose above<br />

low levels of human development; more than<br />

a billion escaped extreme poverty. 3 Most live<br />

in Asia-Pacific, although the current state of<br />

human development in the region as a whole<br />

presents a mixed picture.<br />

Among developing regions worldwide, South<br />

Asia has made the fastest human development<br />

progress with an average annual growth rate<br />

in HDI values of 1.4 percent compared to the<br />

world average of 0.7 percent in the last 25 years.<br />

It is followed by East Asia and the Pacific with<br />

a rate of 1.3 percent. 4 Despite such impressive<br />

progress, however, both subregions still lag<br />

behind Latin America and the Caribbean, and<br />

Europe and Central Asia. South Asia is also<br />

behind the Arab States (Figure 1.1).<br />

Among 36 Asia-Pacific countries and territories<br />

with available data, 5 18 have high or very<br />

high HDI values, 12 countries have medium<br />

values, and 6 countries have low values. 6 In<br />

recent decades, many least developed countries<br />

in Asia-Pacific—Afghanistan, Bangladesh,<br />

Cambodia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic,<br />

Myanmar and Nepal—have made the most<br />

rapid progress on human development, albeit<br />

from a lower base. Between 2009 and 2014, 20<br />

Asia-Pacific countries witnessed an improvement<br />

BOX 1.1:<br />

Major global agreements link population and development<br />

In 1994, the International Conference on Population<br />

and Development, held in Cairo, explicitly<br />

drew attention—for the first time—to the dynamic<br />

relationship between population and development.<br />

Its Programme of Action advocated “appropriate<br />

policies to meet the needs of current generations<br />

without compromising the ability of future generations<br />

to meet their own needs” (UNFPA 2014b,<br />

paragraph 3.1). It called for investing in individual<br />

human rights, capabilities and dignity throughout<br />

the human lifetime.<br />

More recently, at the 2012 United Nations Conference<br />

on Sustainable Development, governments<br />

globally committed to “seize the opportunities and<br />

address the challenges associated with demographic<br />

change” (United Nations 2012c, paragraph<br />

144). In 2014, at the 20-year review of the Cairo<br />

conference, they overwhelmingly supported an<br />

action plan “safeguarding the rights of young people<br />

and investing in their quality education, decent<br />

employment opportunities, effective livelihood<br />

skills and access to sexual and reproductive health”<br />

(UNFPA 2014c, executive summary).<br />

The international community in 2015 affirmed, in<br />

Agenda 2030, a set of Sustainable Development<br />

Goals and targets that incorporate population elements.<br />

The SDGs come at a time when Asia-Pacific<br />

countries are experiencing powerful population<br />

shifts, including continued population growth,<br />

youth bulges, ageing and significant changes<br />

associated with migration, urbanization and family<br />

dynamics. These issues have many implications for<br />

the achievement of the SDGs by their agreed 2030<br />

endpoint. Demographic patterns affect almost all<br />

of the priorities in the goals, including economic<br />

growth, labour markets, income distribution, poverty,<br />

social protection, pensions, health, education,<br />

gender equality, food security, energy, environmental<br />

protection, and climate change mitigation<br />

and adaptation.<br />

Demographic changes played an important role in<br />

the success of East Asia’s ‘tiger’ economies. Other<br />

Asia-Pacific countries now have a similar historic<br />

opportunity to leverage demographics for human<br />

development, and to guide development to exert<br />

positive impacts on demographics. By anticipating<br />

and planning for the changes ahead, all countries<br />

can address challenges and harness opportunities<br />

to realize greater human well-being and contribute<br />

to a more sustainable world.<br />

South Asia has made<br />

the fastest recent<br />

human development<br />

progress, but lags<br />

behind many regions<br />

of the world<br />

Sources: UNFPA 2014b, United Nations 2015a, United Nations 2012c, UNFPA 2014c.<br />

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