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SHAPING THE FUTURE HOW CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS CAN POWER HUMAN DEVELOPMENT

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grated responses to human development goals<br />

and market demands.<br />

One measure is to foster urban agglomeration,<br />

and promote green and compact cities, as<br />

both China and Japan are doing. These avoid<br />

the urban sprawl that can make public services<br />

costlier and more difficult to provide, and can<br />

dramatically increase traffic congestion and<br />

greenhouse gas emissions. Restrictions on the<br />

expansion of urban boundaries are one way to<br />

encourage denser forms of urban development.<br />

Sustaining compact cities depends in part on<br />

instituting efficient, low-emissions public transportation<br />

systems.<br />

All cities should be equipped to minimize<br />

damage and quickly recover from natural disasters.<br />

Impact assessments can help identify<br />

vulnerable locations, populations and sectors, and<br />

inform urban response plans. Climate change<br />

considerations and disaster risk reduction should<br />

be factored in, such as through stricter regulations<br />

for development projects in high-risk areas<br />

and improved standard building codes.<br />

SUSTAINING MOMENTUM<br />

Asia-Pacific’s human development achievements<br />

have been nothing less than extraordinary. The<br />

pace of progress can and should be maintained,<br />

but the means may differ, particularly given<br />

challenges such as slowing economic growth<br />

and threats from climate change. Success will<br />

depend in large part on the adept use of all<br />

available avenues to sustain and accelerate human<br />

development; among the most powerful of these<br />

may be demographic transition.<br />

Every country has valid reasons for exploiting<br />

its narrow window of demographic opportunity.<br />

It is time for a broad cross-section of policy<br />

makers and the public at large to understand<br />

the enormous potential at hand. Every possible<br />

effort should be made to steer the process that<br />

is now unfolding, so that it provides all people,<br />

across the region, with every chance to flourish.<br />

196<br />

Better infrastructure,<br />

education and<br />

research, and public<br />

administration<br />

make cities more<br />

competitive<br />

Make cities more competitive. Many factors that<br />

affect a country’s competitiveness, such as infrastructure,<br />

educational and research institutions,<br />

and the quality of public administration, come<br />

under the purview of cities. Some Asia-Pacific<br />

cities are successful in attracting talent and<br />

investment, and ensuring prosperity and good<br />

public services for their citizens. Singapore;<br />

Hong Kong, China (SAR); Sydney and Tokyo<br />

are currently among the world’s most competitive<br />

cities, and are likely to retain their advantages<br />

in the near term.<br />

By comparison, many cities in developing<br />

Asia-Pacific countries struggle to cope with<br />

challenges such as the large-scale influx of<br />

migrants, or the inability to provide essential<br />

services, decent jobs or housing. They suffer<br />

from substantial infrastructure gaps, such as<br />

unreliable power systems, poor quality roads,<br />

inefficient ports, inadequate schools and so on.<br />

There has been some progress in narrowing the<br />

infrastructure deficit in recent decades, but much<br />

more needs to be done to remove bottlenecks<br />

and upgrade systems if cities are to become more<br />

competitive and realize their full potential as<br />

hubs of human and economic dynamism.

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