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STATE OF THE WORLD'S CITIES 2012/2013 Prosperity

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State of the World’s Cities <strong>2012</strong>/<strong>2013</strong><br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

FACT<br />

Figure 2.1.2<br />

Trends in urbanization and national GDP per capita – for various levels of income, 1960–2010<br />

GDP per capita<br />

5.0<br />

High-income countries, 1960–2010 Higher middle-income countries, 1960–2010<br />

4.5<br />

5.0<br />

Lower middle-income countries, 1960–2010 Low-income countries, 1960–2010<br />

4.5<br />

1960<br />

1965<br />

1970<br />

1975<br />

1980<br />

1985<br />

1990<br />

1995<br />

2000<br />

2005<br />

2010<br />

Note: Both time series are indexed to 1 in the initial year. The y value of each series shows the unit change with respect to the base year.<br />

Source: UNDESA (<strong>2012</strong>) urbanization; World Bank (<strong>2012</strong>) GDP per capita.<br />

In the USA, New York City contributes about 10 per cent<br />

of the country’s GDP and only 6.3 per cent of the total<br />

population. The 10 US cities with the largest GDP produce<br />

36 per cent of the country’s goods and services and 24 per cent<br />

of the total population. 8 São Paulo – Brazil’s economic and<br />

financial capital accounts for 10 per cent of the population, but<br />

25 per cent of national GDP. 9 In China, the 53 metropolitan regions<br />

with populations over one million contribute about 62 per cent<br />

of national non-farm GDP and 29 per cent of the country’s<br />

population. In Kenya, Nairobi, with 8.4 per cent of the country’s<br />

population, accounts for almost 20 per cent of the country’s<br />

GDP. 10 Worldwide, the largest 100 cities accounted for around<br />

30 per cent of the total production of goods and services in 2008,<br />

with the top 30 cities alone accounting for around 18 per cent. 11<br />

38<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

Urban population (%)<br />

1960<br />

1965<br />

1970<br />

1975<br />

1980<br />

1985<br />

1990<br />

1995<br />

2000<br />

2005<br />

2010<br />

Lastly, Kenya illustrates the experience of the limited<br />

number of low-income countries, mostly in Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa, where productivity<br />

growth was negligible even<br />

though urbanization rates<br />

continued to rise. 7<br />

POLICy<br />

FACTORS AFFECTING<br />

URBAN PRODUCTIvITy<br />

The factors determining<br />

urban productivity can<br />

be split into two broad<br />

categories: external factors<br />

that give cities additional<br />

comparative advantage,<br />

including national and<br />

Despite<br />

differences<br />

in the pace of<br />

productivity growth<br />

with respect to<br />

urbanization, the urban<br />

dominance in economic<br />

productivity is evident<br />

across countries. In<br />

other words, urban<br />

areas contribute<br />

disproportionately to<br />

national productivity.

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