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Nairobi<br />

- 76 -<br />

Determination of groundwater vulnerability to cl<strong>im</strong>ate variability and contamination<br />

in the Central Kenya Rift<br />

Bewilligung: 09.02.2011 Laufzeit: 3 <strong>Jahr</strong>e<br />

Overexploitation and cl<strong>im</strong>ate variability are a threat to potable water resources. Within the<br />

central Kenya rift (CKR), the groundwater and Lake Naivasha are thought to have an<br />

effective connection that keeps this surficially closed lake fresh. Increasing demand for<br />

fresh water for municipal, industrial and agricultural supplies has lead to decline in water<br />

budgets and cl<strong>im</strong>ate change is expected to exacerbate the situation. The Water Resources<br />

Management Authority of Kenya lists this aquifer as 'strategic' to supplying significant<br />

amounts of water with no available alternatives. Fluctuations of groundwater in space at<br />

sub annual scales are not yet established. To <strong>im</strong>prove mitigation efforts a sound<br />

knowledge of sub annual recharge and storage is needed. We propose to develop a fully<br />

coupled soil water-groundwater-surface water model for the Naivasha basin and s<strong>im</strong>ulate<br />

the behaviour of the aquifers under different cl<strong>im</strong>atic scenarios. This three year study (2011<br />

- 2014) will be carried out in collaboration with various partners; from the industry, water<br />

resource management and Academic research. The expected results will enhance sound<br />

water allocation measures and enable proper calibration of hydrological budget models.<br />

University of Nairobi<br />

Geology Department<br />

College of Physical and Biological Sciences<br />

Dr. Lydia A. Olaka<br />

Postfach 30197<br />

Nairobi 00100<br />

KENIA<br />

____________<br />

Ouagadougou<br />

Modelling succession-disturbance dynamics for <strong>im</strong>proving socio-ecological<br />

sustainability of savanna ecosystem: A case study of Park W,transboundary<br />

biosphere reserve in West Africa<br />

Bewilligung: 09.02.2011 Laufzeit: 3 <strong>Jahr</strong>e<br />

Savannas occupy around 20% of the earth's land-surface and are subject to disturbance by<br />

fire, grazing and tree cutting. These disturbances if not well managed in the predicted<br />

global cl<strong>im</strong>ate change context may contribute to ecosystem health dysfunction and<br />

conesquently challenge the sustenance of ecological services and products demanded by<br />

society. This project a<strong>im</strong>s at understanding the separate and synergistic role of fire and<br />

herbivory disturbance and cl<strong>im</strong>ate change on the savanna dynamic. We will emphasize the<br />

use of quantitative approaches to investigate the mechanisms structuring the savanna ecosystem,<br />

including statistical models and computer s<strong>im</strong>ulation models. Better understanding<br />

of these disturbances reg<strong>im</strong>es is crucial for change prediction, identification of adaptations<br />

strategies, and increasing knowledge to support multiple-use management of the savanna.<br />

The knowledge gained will be used to formulate management recommendations in the<br />

countries sharing the transboundary biosphere reserve (Park W) in West Africa.<br />

Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique et Technologique (CNRST), Ouagadougou<br />

Institute for Environment and Agricultural Research<br />

Department Forest Production<br />

Dr. Patrice Savadogo<br />

Ouagadougou 03<br />

BURKINA FASO<br />

Tel.: + 226 50 33 40 98 // Fax: + 226 50 31 50 03<br />

____________

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