World in Transition: Climate Change as a Security Risk - WBGU
World in Transition: Climate Change as a Security Risk - WBGU
World in Transition: Climate Change as a Security Risk - WBGU
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196 10 Recommendations for action<br />
and Peru called for the <strong>Security</strong> Council’s mandate<br />
to be extended accord<strong>in</strong>gly. The United K<strong>in</strong>gdom –<br />
one of the countries hold<strong>in</strong>g a veto <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Security</strong><br />
Council – then gave further clear political back<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
this issue a few months later, <strong>in</strong> April 2007, with Foreign<br />
Secretary Margaret Beckett stress<strong>in</strong>g the security<br />
dimension of climate change <strong>in</strong> a speech to the<br />
<strong>Security</strong> Council. However, the extremely restra<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
position of the USA and Ch<strong>in</strong>a, <strong>as</strong> veto-hold<strong>in</strong>g powers,<br />
suggests that realistically, a formal expansion of<br />
the <strong>Security</strong> Council’s agenda is unlikely to occur <strong>in</strong><br />
the near future, especially given that this particular<br />
<strong>as</strong>pect w<strong>as</strong> absent from the relevant report on UN<br />
reform, A More Secure <strong>World</strong>: Our Shared Responsibility<br />
(UN, 2004). Nonetheless, the fact that climate<br />
change h<strong>as</strong> been addressed before the highest<br />
body <strong>in</strong> the United Nations h<strong>as</strong> raised its media profile<br />
and is a symbolic step towards ensur<strong>in</strong>g that the<br />
importance of this issue is not downplayed <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
diplomacy, and h<strong>as</strong> also established a practical<br />
b<strong>as</strong>is for further discussion <strong>in</strong> future. <strong>WBGU</strong> therefore<br />
urges further explor<strong>in</strong>g the pros and cons of a<br />
broader mandate for the <strong>Security</strong> Council with<strong>in</strong> the<br />
overall framework of the UN reform debate.<br />
One option <strong>in</strong> this context is to <strong>in</strong>voke the concept<br />
of ‘ responsibility to protect’, by means of which<br />
the United Nations claims high moral authority. The<br />
responsibility to protect w<strong>as</strong> developed specifically<br />
<strong>in</strong> order to prevent future failures by the United<br />
Nations such <strong>as</strong> those which weigh on the <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
community’s conscience <strong>as</strong> a result of its <strong>in</strong>action<br />
<strong>in</strong> Rwanda and the former Yugoslavia (Fröhlich,<br />
2006; Hilpold, 2006). In view of the conflict potential<br />
that could be unle<strong>as</strong>hed by the impacts of climate<br />
change, this pr<strong>in</strong>ciple could provide a remedy and be<br />
modified and expanded accord<strong>in</strong>gly. The <strong>Security</strong><br />
Council could perhaps charge the newly established<br />
UN Peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g Commission with address<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
specific t<strong>as</strong>ks aris<strong>in</strong>g from this pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, although it<br />
must be ensured that this does not overstretch the<br />
Commission’s mandate to an impermissible extent.<br />
The Commission’s primary t<strong>as</strong>k is to strengthen the<br />
capacities of the United Nations to propose strategies<br />
for susta<strong>in</strong>able peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> countries torn<br />
apart by civil war and to ensure that no resurgence<br />
of violence occurs <strong>in</strong> post-conflict situations (We<strong>in</strong>lich,<br />
2006). However, <strong>in</strong> view of the additional pressure<br />
from the problems <strong>as</strong>sociated with the possible<br />
impacts of climate change, especially <strong>in</strong> fragile civilwar<br />
countries, the Peacebuild<strong>in</strong>g Commission should<br />
also be able to address environmentally <strong>in</strong>duced security<br />
risks appropriately <strong>as</strong> part of its own mandate.<br />
In general, it is important to emph<strong>as</strong>ize that<br />
authoriz<strong>in</strong>g and implement<strong>in</strong>g military me<strong>as</strong>ures,<br />
also <strong>in</strong> response to environmentally <strong>in</strong>duced threats<br />
to <strong>in</strong>ternational peace and security, may only take<br />
place <strong>in</strong> strict compliance with the United Nations’<br />
monopoly of force. Pre-emptive me<strong>as</strong>ures by <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />
countries or groups of countries outside the<br />
scope of the powers granted under Chapter VII of<br />
the United Nations Charter are therefore clearly<br />
<strong>in</strong>compatible with <strong>in</strong>ternational law, also <strong>in</strong> the context<br />
of threatened environmental conflicts.<br />
Strengthen<strong>in</strong>g the United Nations’<br />
environmental policy capacities<br />
<strong>WBGU</strong> reaffirms its often-stated recommendation<br />
that the United Nations Environment Programme<br />
( UNEP) be strengthened and formally upgraded<br />
(<strong>WBGU</strong>, 2001, 2005). The French government h<strong>as</strong><br />
launched a diplomatic <strong>in</strong>itiative specifically with<br />
a view to mov<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> this direction. In the academic<br />
debate, too, the differences <strong>in</strong> the positions for and<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st such a reform have noticeably narrowed <strong>in</strong><br />
recent years (Biermann and Bauer, 2005; Rechkemmer,<br />
2005). Nonetheless, <strong>in</strong> view of some states’ political<br />
opposition to such a move, it is highly unlikely<br />
to take place <strong>in</strong> the near future, although member<br />
states’ commitment to UNEP <strong>as</strong> the ‘global authority<br />
and environmental policy pillar’ of the United<br />
Nations is constantly reiterated, most recently at the<br />
Global M<strong>in</strong>isterial Environment Forum <strong>in</strong> Nairobi <strong>in</strong><br />
February 2007 (UNEP, 2007).<br />
In <strong>WBGU</strong>’s view, a substantive strengthen<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
UNEP should take place without delay. For practical<br />
re<strong>as</strong>ons, therefore, this should <strong>in</strong>itially beg<strong>in</strong> below<br />
the threshold for UNEP’s upgrad<strong>in</strong>g to the status of a<br />
UN specialized agency, <strong>as</strong> also proposed <strong>in</strong> the report<br />
Deliver<strong>in</strong>g <strong>as</strong> One on coherence <strong>in</strong> the UN system and<br />
<strong>in</strong> the debate at the Global M<strong>in</strong>isterial Environment<br />
Forum. In that sense, <strong>WBGU</strong> takes the view that all<br />
me<strong>as</strong>ures result<strong>in</strong>g not only <strong>in</strong> additional budgetary<br />
resources for UNEP but also provid<strong>in</strong>g the requis ite<br />
stability for UNEP to engage <strong>in</strong> more secure medium-<br />
to long-term f<strong>in</strong>ancial plann<strong>in</strong>g should be supported.<br />
This requires, firstly, multiannual f<strong>in</strong>ancial commitments<br />
from donors and, secondly, a reduction <strong>in</strong> the<br />
proportion of earmarked funds.<br />
In this context, the efforts to improve cooperation<br />
between UNEP and the many UN agencies with an<br />
operational mandate should also be supported. This<br />
applies especially to cooperation with the United<br />
Nations Development Programme (UNDP) (Biermann<br />
and Bauer, 2004; Fues, 2006), and, <strong>in</strong> light of<br />
the grow<strong>in</strong>g significance of environmentally <strong>in</strong>duced<br />
migration, the Office of the United Nations High<br />
Commissioner for Refugees ( UNHCR) (Section<br />
9.3.4) <strong>as</strong> well. The relevant recommendations of the<br />
High-Level Panel on System-wide Coherence are<br />
to be welcomed here, <strong>as</strong> are the encourag<strong>in</strong>g signals<br />
sent out by the heads of the relevant UN agencies at<br />
the first Global M<strong>in</strong>isterial Environment Forum to