244 13 Index conflicts 27, 66, 79, 89, 96–97, 106, 108, 120, 123, 127, 134, 142, 148, 182, 187, 190, 192; see also environmental conflicts – Cyprus conflict 107 – defus<strong>in</strong>g tensions 84, 98, 101, 103, 128 – North-South conflict 48, 171 – violent conflicts 25–29, 77, 79, 85–86, 89, 114, 121 consumption patterns 94, 98, 115 Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) 197 corruption 43, 87, 99, 122, 142, 145 Costa Rica 42, 150 cotton 89, 138, 141 crim<strong>in</strong>ality 43, 88, 107, 108, 142, 145 – drugs trade 43, 87, 142, 145 – loot<strong>in</strong>g 35, 99, 106–107 crises 19, 31, 69, 98–99, 105, 109, 114, 121–122, 135, 137, 156, 157–159, 169, 179, 192, 200 – <strong>in</strong>tervention 20, 44, 123, 175, 182, 195, 203, 205 – prevention 22, 179, 184, 203, 208, 211–212 Cuba 150–151 cyclones 15, 55, 59–60, 104, 122–124, 143–144, 149, 162, 177; see also hurricanes D Dar es Salaam 139 Darfur 137 deforestation; cf forests: deforestation demographics 37, 121, 159 desertification 100, 103, 124–126; see also soils: degradation Desertification Convention (UNCCD); cf United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) destabilization of societies and states 15–17, 27, 43, 77, 79, 87, 98, 106, 131, 157, 159, 165, 168–169, 179, 190, 213; see also stability development <strong>as</strong>sistance 21, 212; see also Official Development Assistance (ODA) Development Assistance Committee (DAC); cf Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) development cooperation 49, 90, 169, 182, 199–202, 204, 210 development policy 103, 174, 190, 194, 200, 213 dis<strong>as</strong>ters; see also natural dis<strong>as</strong>ters – dis<strong>as</strong>ter prevention 102, 115, 123, 175, 186, 202 – dis<strong>as</strong>ter risk management 70, 121–122, 158, 160, 162, 180, 186 – dis<strong>as</strong>ter risks 110, 115, 161, 187, 202 dise<strong>as</strong>e 20, 72, 80, 170, 184 – malaria 20, 72 distributional equity 83, 127, 152, 158 Doha Round 48, 102, 201; see also <strong>World</strong> Trade Organization (WTO) Dom<strong>in</strong>ican Republic 150 drought 65, 75, 81, 86, 90, 136–138, 150, 154, 163, 170; see also natural dis<strong>as</strong>ters E early warn<strong>in</strong>g systems 120, 122, 192, 202, 207; see also dis<strong>as</strong>ter prevention earthquakes 103, 107, 110; see also natural dis<strong>as</strong>ters economic performance 36, 47, 97–98, 158 economic policy 19, 179, 213 economy 36, 70–72, 135, 158, 201 – economic development 36, 47, 78, 110, 135, 147, 148, 170, 181 ecosystems 20, 65, 67, 71, 79, 100, 122, 177, 190, 198 ecosystem services 64, 80, 139 Ecuador 82, 151–152 Egypt 125, 133–135 electricity generation 135, 142 El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) 75, 146, 154 emissions; cf greenhouse g<strong>as</strong>es energy 49, 71, 87, 89–90 energy policy 102, 166, 191, 194, 209 – Energy Policy for Europe 199 environmental conflicts 20, 25, 27–28, 31, 37, 184, 189; see also conflicts – world map of environmental conflicts 28, 31 environmentally <strong>in</strong>duced migration; cf migration Ethiopia 45, 126–127, 135 ethnicity 120, 123, 125, 142, 159, 187 European policy 191 European <strong>Security</strong> Strategy 21, 169; see also security strategies European Union (EU) 22, 102, 168, 174, 191, 199, 203, 210 extreme events 45, 55, 65, 71, 108, 127, 151, 163, 178, 207 F failed states 42–43; see also state collapse Falkenmark <strong>in</strong>dicator 65; see also water shortage f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g 98, 121, 126, 174, 203, 208–210, 211–212 – funds 106, 123, 135, 196, 208, 210 – Le<strong>as</strong>t Developed Countries Fund 210 – microf<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>struments 211 fisheries 70, 161 floods 26, 34, 69, 103–104, 108, 110, 114, 122, 144, 146, 150; see also storm and flood dis<strong>as</strong>ters Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO); cf United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization food crises 93, 98, 100, 102; see also crises food production 69, 77, 93–96, 98, 135, 139, 141, 169, 186; see also food security food security 94, 102, 125, 159, 173, 201 forec<strong>as</strong>ts 55, 68, 77, 92, 97, 102, 118, 136, 201, 207 forestry 70, 134; see also forests forests 68, 94, 100, 104, 115, 198, 209 – deforestation 75, 93, 100, 104, 115, 134, 155, 156, 209 – forest fires 134 – tropical forests 67, 154, 198 fragile states 43–47, 138, 162, 169, 183, 190, 202
Framework Convention on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>; cf United Nations Framework Convention on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (UNFCCC) France 126, 134, 136 freshwater; cf water G G20 48 Ganges 122, 143–144, 170, 190 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT); see also <strong>World</strong> Trade Organisation (WTO) Geneva Refugee Convention 118, 129, 205–206 geographical factors 38, 122, 159 German Action Plan ‘Civilian Crisis Prevention’ 193, 203 German M<strong>in</strong>istry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) 199, 203 glaciers 57, 82, 87–88, 147, 177 – melt<strong>in</strong>g 65, 132, 141, 144, 151, 190 – meltwater 63, 74, 81–82, 87, 143, 152 Global Commission on International Migration (GCIM) 206 Global Environment Facility (GEF) 199, 208 global governance 46, 51–54, 131, 156, 191, 213 good governance 78, 102, 115, 140, 202 governance structures 35–36, 72, 85, 98, 115, 134, 142, 151 Greece 107, 134 greenhouse g<strong>as</strong>es 56, 73–74, 92, 112, 124, 165, 166–167, 168, 171–173, 177, 181, 191 – emissions reductions 56 – greenhouse g<strong>as</strong> concentration 56, 66, 72, 167, 171, 198 Greenland 74, 133 Greenland ice sheet 57, 63, 72, 74, 132; see also ice sheets Green Revolution 93, 100–101, 186 groundwater 64, 79, 80, 87, 95, 100, 104, 110, 134, 159, 162, 185 Guatemala 31, 150–151 Gulf of Mexico 104, 149–151 Guyana 154, 162 H Haiti 31–33, 104, 150–151 health 72, 86, 110, 120, 142, 148 heatwaves 56, 72, 136, 146, 163; see also natural dis<strong>as</strong>ters heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall events 104, 110, 142, 144, 146, 161; see also natural dis<strong>as</strong>ters and extreme events Himalay<strong>as</strong> 82, 144, 163, 190 HIV/AIDS pandemic 139–140 Hondur<strong>as</strong> 31, 34, 104, 114, 150 Human Development Index (HDI) 133, 135, 140, 147, 150 humanitarian <strong>as</strong>sistance 41, 116, 195 human rights 49, 54, 126, 169, 173–174, 184, 195 human security; cf security Human <strong>Security</strong> Doctr<strong>in</strong>e for Europe 21, 212 hurricanes 104, 112–115, 144, 149–150; see also natural dis<strong>as</strong>ters and storm and flood dis<strong>as</strong>ters – Hurricane Catar<strong>in</strong>a 60 – Hurricane Katr<strong>in</strong>a 22, 35, 41, 45, 71, 104, 113, 116; see also New Orleans hydropower 71, 79, 87, 89, 90, 135, 155, 156, 160, 199 I Iceland 133 ice sheets 57, 74, 132, 177; see also Greenland ice sheet ICLEI; cf Local Governments for Susta<strong>in</strong>ability network (ICLEI) imports, dependency on 103, 202 India 35–36, 41, 47–50, 53, 93, 123–124, 143–145, 192 <strong>in</strong>digenous peoples 31, 133, 153, 156 Indonesia 45, 46, 105, 107, 128 Indus 145 <strong>in</strong>surance sector 71, 113, 211 <strong>in</strong>terdependence of states 39, 52, 159 Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) 56, 64, 73, 180, 204, 210 International Environmental Court 184 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 53, 103 International Organization for Migration (IOM) 118, 128, 211 International Strategy for Dis<strong>as</strong>ter Reduction (ISDR) 105, 207 irrigation 63, 69, 89, 91, 94, 141, 147, 152 – irrigated farm<strong>in</strong>g 79, 82, 89–90, 94, 100, 139, 145 islands 63, 67, 70, 113, 114, 148, 185 Italy 134 K K<strong>as</strong>hmir 107, 145 Kazakhstan 45, 88, 90, 141–142 key factors 77, 82, 99, 108, 127, 157; see also conflict constellations Kyoto Protocol 50, 166, 191, 198, 210 – Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) 50, 208, 210 Kyrgyzstan 88, 141, 142 L land distribution 31, 99, 100, 103 landless 98, 123; see also land distribution land reforms 103 land use 31, 66–68, 75, 96, 134, 144, 150, 166, 172, 178, 202 Lesotho 138–139 Libya 124, 134–135 Lima 86–88, 153 Local Governments for Susta<strong>in</strong>ability network (ICLEI) 115 M Madag<strong>as</strong>car 138 Malawi 45, 138–139 meat consumption 93, 96 Mediterranean region 59, 64, 122, 124, 133–135 Middle E<strong>as</strong>t 45, 69, 80, 94, 132, 175 Index 13 245
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Climate Change as a Security Risk G
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Members of the German Advisory Coun
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German Advisory Council on Global C
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VI Council Staff and Acknowledgment
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VIII Contents 3.3.2 Economic factor
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X Contents 6.5.4.1 Avoiding environ
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XII Contents 10.3.2 Climate policy
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Tables Table 2.2-1 Main differences
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XVIII Acronyms and Abbreviations FI
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A new security policy challenge Sum
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firmed by the European Council, a b
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Initiative 8: Managing migration th
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16 1 Introduction the present state
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Broadening the concept of security
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Messner, 2004; Klingebiel and Roehd
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26 3 Known conflict impacts of envi
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6.1 Methodology 6.1.1 Selection and
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available would be sufficient to co
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Demand-side dynamics, e.g. - Popula
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Box 6.2-2 Dams and conflict Many of
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6.2.3.1 Glacier retreat, water cris
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the Amu Darya, flow through the ter
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Managing demand-side dynamics WBGU
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ductivity is likely to decline worl
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Regional production - Local environ
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World Trade Organization (WTO), the
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O’Leary believes that a raised cr
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Figure 6.4-3 Conflict constellation
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A Category Six hurricane hits Houst
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Figure 6.5-1 Conflict constellation
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differing challenges to the societi
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programme that is making a signific
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conflict (Geissler, 1999; Phuong, 2
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