World in Transition: Climate Change as a Security Risk - WBGU

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Climate Change as a Security Risk G
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Members of the German Advisory Coun
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German Advisory Council on Global C
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VI Council Staff and Acknowledgment
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VIII Contents 3.3.2 Economic factor
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X Contents 6.5.4.1 Avoiding environ
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XII Contents 10.3.2 Climate policy
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Tables Table 2.2-1 Main differences
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XVI Figures Figure 8.1-2 Climate st
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XVIII Acronyms and Abbreviations FI
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A new security policy challenge Sum
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ilization, the collapse of social s
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Six threats to international stabil
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Fostering a cooperative setting for
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firmed by the European Council, a b
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Initiative 8: Managing migration th
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which are not should satisfy the
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16 1 Introduction the present state
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Broadening the concept of security
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Messner, 2004; Klingebiel and Roehd
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Box 2.2-1 Worldwatch Institute: Cha
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26 3 Known conflict impacts of envi
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42 4 Rising conflict risks due to s
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56 5 Impacts of climate change on t
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6.1 Methodology 6.1.1 Selection and
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6.2 Conflict constellation: ‘Clim
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available would be sufficient to co
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Demand-side dynamics, e.g. - Popula
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Box 6.2-2 Dams and conflict Many of
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6.2.3.1 Glacier retreat, water cris
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the Amu Darya, flow through the ter
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Managing demand-side dynamics WBGU
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6.3 Conflict constellation: ‘Clim
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ductivity is likely to decline worl
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Regional production - Local environ
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Box 6.3-1 Examples of destabilizati
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no longer adapt quickly enough to c
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World Trade Organization (WTO), the
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Although the special vulnerability
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O’Leary believes that a raised cr
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Figure 6.4-3 Conflict constellation
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A marked increase in social unrest
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6.4.3.2 Hurricane risks in the Gulf
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A Category Six hurricane hits Houst
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Box 6.5-1 Migration - definitions a
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Figure 6.5-1 Conflict constellation
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differing challenges to the societi
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Fictitious confrontation scenario:
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tions, this has already given rise
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programme that is making a signific
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conflict (Geissler, 1999; Phuong, 2
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132 7 Hotspots of climate change It
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134 7 Hotspots of climate change de
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136 7 Hotspots of climate change 7.
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138 7 Hotspots of climate change ex
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140 7 Hotspots of climate change re
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142 7 Hotspots of climate change (G
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144 7 Hotspots of climate change mo
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146 7 Hotspots of climate change im
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148 7 Hotspots of climate change in
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150 7 Hotspots of climate change Hu
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152 7 Hotspots of climate change In
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154 7 Hotspots of climate change ra
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156 7 Hotspots of climate change GD
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158 8 Climate change as a driver of
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Page 220 and 221: 198 10 Recommendations for action d
Page 222 and 223: 200 10 Recommendations for action A
Page 226 and 227: 204 10 Recommendations for action s
Page 228 and 229: 206 10 Recommendations for action G
Page 230 and 231: 208 10 Recommendations for action 1
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Page 237 and 238: Abel, W (1974) Massenarmut und Hung
Page 239 and 240: BMU (Bundesministerium für Umwelt,
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Page 243: for Action. Global Commission on In
Page 247 and 248: - a review’. In Kreimer, A, Arnol
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Page 265 and 266: Index A Aceh 107 Africa 70-71, 72,
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Page 269 and 270: 208, 211 security strategies 19, 21
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