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Excel's Formula - sisman

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320<br />

Part III: Financial <strong>Formula</strong>s<br />

Figure 12-2: An initial investment returns positive future cash flows.<br />

The NPV is negative, so this analysis indicates that buying the snowplow is not a good investment.<br />

Several factors that influence the result:<br />

First, I defined a “good investment” as one that returns 10% when I set the discount rate.<br />

If you settle for a lesser return, the result might be satisfactory.<br />

The future cash flows are generally (but not always) estimates. In this case, the potential<br />

plow owner assumes increasing revenue over the ten-year life of the equipment. Unless<br />

he has a ten-year contract to plow snow that sets forth the exact amounts to be received,<br />

the future cash flows are educated guesses at how much money he can make.<br />

Finally, the initial investment plays a significant role in the calculation. if you can get the<br />

snowplow dealer to lower his price, the ten-year investment may prove worthwhile.<br />

No initial investment<br />

You can look at the snowplow example in a different way. In the previous example, you knew the<br />

cost of the snowplow and included that as the initial investment. The calculation determines<br />

whether the initial investment would produce a 10% return. You can also use NPV to tell what initial<br />

investment is required to produce the required return. That is, how much should you pay for<br />

the snowplow? Figure 12-3 shows the calculation of the NPV of a series of cash flows with no initial<br />

investment.<br />

The NPV calculation in cell B20 uses the following formula:<br />

=NPV($B$3,B8:B17)+B7

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