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assessment of the socio-economic and environmental impact

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for FY 2006/07 budget. Central Government’s operation for <strong>the</strong> FY 2007/08 budget was<br />

expected to be financed by <strong>the</strong> anticipated Revenue & Grants inflows <strong>of</strong> $243,091.7 billion, 15.0<br />

per cent higher than <strong>the</strong> actual out-turn for FY 2006/07.<br />

The Debt Management Strategy for FY 2007/08 (a continuation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> policy initiated in FY<br />

1998/99) places increased emphasis on liability management aimed at reducing long-term<br />

financing costs <strong>and</strong> maintaining a sustainable level <strong>of</strong> risk. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> debt strategy will<br />

continue to focus on:<br />

• maintaining a mix <strong>of</strong> fixed <strong>and</strong> variable interest-rate debt to fur<strong>the</strong>r diversify <strong>and</strong><br />

minimize interest-rate risk;<br />

• extending <strong>and</strong> smoothing <strong>the</strong> maturity pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debt to better manage refinancing<br />

risk;<br />

• improving <strong>the</strong> transparency <strong>and</strong> predictability <strong>of</strong> primary market debt issuance; <strong>and</strong><br />

• promoting <strong>and</strong> building a liquid <strong>and</strong> efficient market for Government securities.<br />

2. The Economy in <strong>the</strong> year <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Disaster: January – June 2007<br />

Fiscal Accounts<br />

Central Government operations for <strong>the</strong> first quarter <strong>of</strong> Fiscal Year 2007/08 generated a deficit <strong>of</strong><br />

$8 967.3 million, which was $4 752.5 million lower than programmed. Inflows resulting from<br />

Revenue & Grants were $200.2 million lower than expected. The intake from Revenue <strong>and</strong><br />

Grants occurred against <strong>the</strong> background <strong>of</strong> lower than expected inflows from all subcategories<br />

with <strong>the</strong> exception <strong>of</strong> Bauxite Levy which was $339.0 million higher than programmed. Total<br />

expenditure at $64 661.9 million was $4 952.7 million lower than budgeted. Capital Expenditure<br />

<strong>and</strong> Recurrent Expenditure were $3 888.0 million <strong>and</strong> $1 064.7 million lower than planned,<br />

respectively.<br />

Gross Domestic Product<br />

For <strong>the</strong> first six months <strong>of</strong> 2007, real GDP increased by 1.8 per cent a deceleration in <strong>the</strong> growth<br />

rate compared with January - June 2006 when <strong>the</strong> economy grew by 2.4 per cent. The Goods<br />

Producing sector exp<strong>and</strong>ed by 1.6 per cent while <strong>the</strong> Services sector grew by 2.1 per cent ( see<br />

73

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