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assessment of the socio-economic and environmental impact

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during <strong>the</strong> final half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> year were <strong>the</strong> Construction & Installation, Electricity & Water <strong>and</strong><br />

transport Storage & Communication.<br />

Table 6.4: Pre-Dean GDP Projections<br />

YEAR ON YEAR CHANGE IN GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN PRODUCERS' VALUES AT<br />

CONSTANT 1996 PRICES (PER CENT)<br />

Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jul-Dec Jan-Dec<br />

2007 2007 2007 2007<br />

GOODS PRODUCING SECTORS 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.2<br />

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.8<br />

Mining & Quarrying 5.1 5.3 5.2 2.6<br />

Manufacturing 1.7 2.2 2.0 1.0<br />

<strong>of</strong> which: Food, Beverages & Tobacco 2.0 2.5 2.2 0.9<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Manufacturing 1.5 2.0 1.7 1.2<br />

Construction & Installation 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.6<br />

SERVICES SECTORS 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2<br />

Electricity & Water 4.4 4.0 4.2 4.2<br />

Transport, Storage & Communication 2.5 3.0 2.7 2.9<br />

Distributive Trade 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.4<br />

Finance & Insurance Services 2.4 2.5 2.5 3.0<br />

Real Estate & Business Services 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5<br />

Producers <strong>of</strong> Government Services 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6<br />

Miscellaneous Services (incl. Household & Private 2.4 2.3 2.4 0.4<br />

Non-Pr<strong>of</strong>it Institutions)<br />

<strong>of</strong> which: Hotels, Restaurants & Clubs 2.5 2.3 2.4 -0.1<br />

Less Imputed Bank Service Charge 1.2 1.0 1.1 3.1<br />

TOTAL GDP AT CONSTANT PRICES 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.1<br />

Source: Planning Institute <strong>of</strong> Jamaica<br />

The Evolution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Economy with <strong>the</strong> Disaster<br />

Due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>impact</strong> <strong>of</strong> Hurricane Dean <strong>the</strong> economy is expected to grow by 1.1 per cent for 2007<br />

instead <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2.1 per cent forecasted prior to <strong>the</strong> passage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hurricane. This will result from<br />

losses in output flows primarily in <strong>the</strong> Agriculture Forestry & Fishing, Mining & Quarrying <strong>and</strong><br />

Electricity & Water sectors. However <strong>the</strong> Construction & Installation <strong>and</strong> Distributive Trade<br />

77

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