assessment of the socio-economic and environmental impact
assessment of the socio-economic and environmental impact
assessment of the socio-economic and environmental impact
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I. INTRODUCTION<br />
1. Description <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Event<br />
Meteorological Phenomenon<br />
Hurricane Dean <strong>and</strong> its passage<br />
Tropical Depression #4 developed over <strong>the</strong> far eastern Atlantic near latitude 12.0º North,<br />
longitude 31.6º West on August 13 at 1500 UTC <strong>and</strong> showed signs <strong>of</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>ning as it moved<br />
quickly towards <strong>the</strong> west. The depression was upgraded to Tropical Storm Dean on August 14 at<br />
1500 UTC <strong>and</strong> continued on a more or less westward track while continuing to streng<strong>the</strong>n. On<br />
<strong>the</strong> 15th at 1500 UTC forecast models indicated that <strong>the</strong> system could have some <strong>impact</strong> on<br />
Jamaica on Monday, August 20. (See Figure 1.1).<br />
Tropical Storm Dean was upgraded to a<br />
hurricane on August 16 <strong>and</strong> continued to<br />
streng<strong>the</strong>n as it moved quickly towards <strong>the</strong><br />
west. It was fur<strong>the</strong>r upgraded to a category 2<br />
hurricane on August 16.<br />
The forecast track<br />
was now for Hurricane Dean to make l<strong>and</strong>fall<br />
in <strong>the</strong> Eastern Caribbean, somewhere in <strong>the</strong><br />
vicinity <strong>of</strong> Martinique <strong>and</strong> to pass just south <strong>of</strong><br />
Jamaica during <strong>the</strong> afternoon <strong>of</strong> Sunday,<br />
August 19.<br />
Once Hurricane Dean crossed into <strong>the</strong> Caribbean Sea, <strong>environmental</strong> conditions became more<br />
favourable for continued streng<strong>the</strong>ning, <strong>the</strong> Meteorological Service, Jamaica (MET) issued<br />
Bulletin #1 at 1500 UTC on Friday, August 17 indicating that Hurricane Dean (close to 1500<br />
kilometres (940 miles) east sou<strong>the</strong>ast <strong>of</strong> Morant Point, Jamaica), posed a possible threat to <strong>the</strong><br />
isl<strong>and</strong>. At this time, MET issued an immediate evacuation order for all Fishers on <strong>the</strong> cays <strong>and</strong><br />
banks <strong>and</strong> an advisory for all o<strong>the</strong>r small craft operators in coastal waters to return to port <strong>and</strong><br />
those in port were advised not to venture out.<br />
Figure 1.1: Tropical Storm Dean at 1500 UTC,<br />
August 15, 2007. Projected to <strong>impact</strong> on Jamaica<br />
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