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The Quick Count and Election Observation

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THE QUICK COUNT AND ELECTION OBSERVATION<br />

information from the database: the precise location of the missing sample<br />

point; the identity of the observer at that datapoint; the contact telephone<br />

number of that observer; the name <strong>and</strong> contact numbers of the regional coordinator<br />

for that datapoint; <strong>and</strong> the name <strong>and</strong> contact number of the back-up<br />

private phone contact for that datapoint. It might be difficult to contact directly<br />

the observers who are at the missing data point. <strong>The</strong>y may still be at the<br />

polling station <strong>and</strong> out of telephone contact, <strong>and</strong> there are a number of possible<br />

reasons for why the data may not have been reported to the data collection<br />

center by the observer. <strong>The</strong> particular polling station might have opened late,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the observer may not yet have had the opportunity to gather the data.<br />

Another possibility is that the observer may have tried to call the data collection<br />

center while the data center phone lines were busy. Recall, though, that<br />

observers are required to follow a three call regime to report each piece of<br />

information. Call #2 should have gone to the regional coordinator <strong>and</strong> Call<br />

#3 to the back-up private telephone. So the data recovery unit can begin data<br />

recovery by phoning the back-up assigned to that observation point, or they<br />

can call the regional coordinator. If neither has received the data from the<br />

observer, the data recovery team alerts the regional coordinator so that she<br />

or he can investigate the matter. <strong>The</strong> regional coordinator directs efforts to<br />

determine the cause of the missing data, perhaps by involving a municipal<br />

coordinator to recover the data for the missing sample point.<br />

<strong>The</strong> regional coordinator<br />

directs efforts to<br />

determine the cause of<br />

the missing data.<br />

111<br />

<strong>The</strong> dotted lines in Figure 7-3 indicate the calls from the data recovery unit to<br />

the back-up private telephones <strong>and</strong> to the regional coordinators. <strong>The</strong> process<br />

of data recovery is a continuous one throughout election day. <strong>The</strong> sample<br />

clearance unit has the task of identifying missing data points <strong>and</strong> alerting the<br />

data recovery unit to the possibility that data may be missing for an entire<br />

province or state. <strong>The</strong>se patterns require immediate attention because they<br />

suggest that there is a systemic problem in data retrieval. <strong>The</strong>re may have been<br />

a breakdown in the observation communications system, or they could indicate<br />

a substantial <strong>and</strong> regionally specific problem in the administration of the<br />

election. Either way, the task of the data recovery unit is to determine the<br />

source of the problem <strong>and</strong> to alert the leadership about the scope <strong>and</strong> scale<br />

of any such problem. This information also has to be relayed to the analysis<br />

unit so that analysts are aware that possible adjustments may have to be made<br />

in the weighting of the data for the final report.<br />

Evidence of data retrieval problems usually becomes apparent after observers<br />

have completed the task of reporting the Form 1 data, the first qualitative<br />

reports that observers call in immediately after the first voter at a polling station<br />

has cast a ballot. 5 <strong>The</strong>se Form 1 reports provide an early indication of<br />

where the observation effort is working <strong>and</strong> where it is not. <strong>The</strong> tasks of the<br />

data recovery unit are, first, to determine why there are the missing data points<br />

in the Form 1 phase of the observation, <strong>and</strong> second, to develop a strategy for<br />

Form 1 reports provide<br />

an early indication of<br />

where the observation<br />

effort is working <strong>and</strong><br />

where it is not.<br />

5<br />

Chapter Six, <strong>The</strong> Qualitative Component of the <strong>Quick</strong> <strong>Count</strong>, details the content <strong>and</strong> reporting procedures<br />

for Form 1.

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