SFPUC Wholesale Customer Water Demand Projections ... - BAWSCA

Single family
Multifamily
Commercial
Base Year Average Use and Indoor Percentages by Billing Category for DSS Model 2
Year Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average 8 , gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor Average, gpd/a Indoor
2001 395 57% 1042 81% 1482 63% 4987 65% 5316 34% 1902 23% 265,592 0%
Note: Accounts are read monthly
Data for DSS Model - - Base Year 2001
Number of Water Use Water Use,
Total Dwelling Units in Census 2000 for Palo Alto
Category Accounts 2001 MGD Use Profile Water Use Indoor Water Use
FY. 2001 3 gpd/a 2 2001 Percent gcd gcd
Single family 14,515 395 5.73 43.12% 145 83
Multifamily 1,886 1,042 1.97 14.79% 96 78
Service Area Billing Difference between
Commercial 1,629 1,482 2.41 18.17%
Accounts - Year 2000 billing and census
Industrial 247 4,987 1.23 9.28%
Single family
2000 Units
No. Buildings
3
data
Data Sources / Notes
Public Facility 64 5,316 0.34 2.54% 1-detached 15,387 15,387
Other 286 1,902 0.54 4.09% 1-attached 978 978
Recycled Water 4 265,592 1.06 8.00% Subtotal 16,365 16,365 14,771 -1,594 Housing Characteristics from U.S. Census Bureau
0 0 0.00 0.00% Multi family
Total 18,631 13.28 100.00% 2-units 474 237
Total Water Purchased (produced) 4 = 13.53 MGD 3-4 units 1,254 358
Unaccounted For Water (UFW) 5 = 6.3% Percent From 5 year BAWUA Survey average 5 to 9 units 1,653 236
Estimated UFW for DSS Model = 7% Percent 7% if actual is < 7%, otherwise = E25 10-19 units 1,602 107
Water Produced for use in DSS Model 14.21 MGD Add UFW to Total Water Use 20 or more units 4,642 93
Meter for assumed 50 units per building
Peaking Factor 1.50 Provided by Agency or SFPUC Water Master Plan (or NA) mobile homes 156 3
Meter for mobile home parks, assume 50 per park
Peaking Factor for DSS Model= 1.5 If NA use default value of 1.6. Subtotal 9,781 1,034 1,929 895 Must be more than one building on an MF meter.
MF Average = 9.46 units/building 5.07 units/account
- Blue cells are entered by modeler
- Yellow cells are input to DSS Model Total SF + MF units = 26,146
NOTES
1. - Communities served (includes all or portions of) Palo Alto and nearby unincorporated areas according to BAWUA survey
Population and Household Size in Census 2000 for Palo Alto Estimated
Residential
City of Palo Alto City of Palo Alto Service Area
Census Population Estimated Population Population
2 - Average gpd/a is based on a 12-month moving average through December 2001. Indoor use is based on average of 2 lowest consecutive months in the
winter if meters read bimonthly, or single lowest month if meters read monthly.
3 - Number of accounts is from data provided by water agency for this project were taken from the BAWUA Survey.
4 - Total water Purchased (produced) taken from BAWUA for Fiscal Year 2001-2002 or agency if provided. For Palo Alto, the agency provided water
purchase information.
5 - Unaccounted for Water (UFW) is the percent difference between the total water purchased and the total water use.
6 - For reference see additional population estimates provided in population and employment estimates corresponding to service area table.
7 - Initial estimate based on census data for renter occupied units. For reference see table below that has 2000 census data for corresponding water service
area city or cities.
Industrial
Public Facility
Palo Alto Water Service Area 1
DSS Input Sheet
FINAL INPUT SHEET
Reconcile agency account billing data and census data
Data Sources / Notes
2000 2001 2001 Estimated growth from 2000 to 2001 (CA DOF Projections): 3.08%
Total Population from Census data 6 = 58,598 60400 Estimated employment growth from 2000 to 2001 (ABAG Employment Projections): 0.20%
Subtract Institutionalized Population = 433 446 Water use for the institutionalized population is accounted for in nonresidential billing categories
Residential Population = 58,165 59,954 Residential population shown corresponds to the city or cities represented by Census data
Avg. HHS 7 = 2.22
MF Pop @ MF HHS 7 = 2.03 19,855 20,466 20,466 34.1% Percent of Population that is MF
SF Pop = 38,310 39,488 39,488 65.9% Percent of Population that is SF
SF HHS 7 = 2.34
Total 59,954 100.0%
104 Difference in our estimate and average of 2000-2001 and 2001-2002 BAWUA Surveys
-343 Difference in our estimate and the average 2000-2001 and 2001-2002 BAWUA Surveys including institutionalized population
2000 Census Data
Average household size 2.30 Estimate Service Area Dwelling Units for 2001
Average household size of owner-occupied unit 2.55 SF Res 16,868 Equals No. Buildings from cell M21 plus growth in accounts for one year from cell T38
Average household size of renter-occupied unit 1.96 MF Res 10,082 Equals 2000 units from cell L29 plus the growth rate in accounts for one year from cell T38
Homeowner vacancy rate (percent) 0.60
Rental vacancy rate (percent) 2.00 Population and Employment Estimates Corresponding to Service Area
Population
Employment
8 - Average Recycled Water Usage per Account is the average of each of the 4 uses: water trucks, Greer Park, golf course and wastewater treatment plant.
2000 Census data for jurisdiction 58,598 NA
2000 ABAG (jurisdictional) 58,598 103,890
2005 ABAG Projection (jurisdictional) 61,200 104,920
2000 ABAG (subregional) 71,914 110,890
2005 ABAG Projection (subregional) 75,800 112,520
2000 Department of Finance Benchmark 58,598 From State of California Department of Finance (DOF) table E-4 as of 4-1-2000. Website www.dof.ca.gov
Data Prepared : July 14, 2003 By: M. Maddaus 2001 Department of Finance Estimate 60,400 From State of California Department of Finance table E-4 as of 1-1-2001. Website www.dof.ca.gov
Revised: June 8, 2004 2002 Department of Finance Estimate 60,400 From State of California Department of Finance table E-4 as of 1-1-2002. Website www.dof.ca.gov
FY 2000-2001 BAWUA service area 59,350 NA
FY 2001-2002 BAWUA service area 60,350 NA
2001 Employment in Service Area (input to DSS Model) = 105,432 Service Area Employment is determined by the ratio of the 2000-2001 BAWUA service area population to the
2000 ABAG Subregional Population and escalated to 2001 using the assumed growth rate in cell T39. (EXPLAIN SOURCE)
Other
Recycled Water
Definitions / Abbreviations
ABAG Association of Bay Area Governments MF multi family
BAWUA Bay Area Water Users Association MGD million gallons per day
DSS Decision Support System Model No. number
du dwelling unit Pop population
FY Fiscal Year Res residential
gpd/a gallons per day / per account SF single family
gpd gallons per day UFW unaccounted for water
HHS
household size