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FOI-R--<strong>3880</strong>--SE<br />

interstate distrust – fighting drugs trafficking per se alone would be a futile<br />

battle.<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

The year 2014 is here, and some serious changes in the regional status quo are<br />

expected with it. Bad governance in any of the states involved – first and<br />

foremost in Afghanistan – and poor regional and international cooperation are<br />

the conditions that favour drugs trafficking. The overall harm done by the drugs<br />

business in the world is clear and enormous, even if its relative harmfulness may<br />

differ in different regions and countries. The scale of the overall harm it causes<br />

among the Central Asian countries is not clearly outweighed by the profits made<br />

through it by those in the ‘state-crime nexus’, and the ability of the drugs<br />

business to bribe is a very potent advantage. The growing domestic damage done<br />

by drugs is still a fact of which only governments and limited parts of society are<br />

aware, with the general public not sufficiently alerted to it.<br />

In these circumstances, countering this illicit business has to be viewed within<br />

the complex of larger problems, both substantively and geographically. It cannot<br />

be fought effectively within the borders of a single state, and it cannot be fought<br />

effectively if all other issues of the states involved are viewed separately from it.<br />

As the situation stood in mid-2013, it was not encouraging in either regard. For<br />

the post-2014 regional security scenario to improve, the horizons of cooperation<br />

against drugs trafficking must expand beyond state borders and beyond the<br />

region, and they should become comprehensive and not narrowly focused on<br />

drugs only.<br />

REFERENCES<br />

Buzan, Barry, Waever, Ole, and de Wilde, Jaap (1998) Security: A New<br />

Framework for Analysis (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers).<br />

Central Asia Counternarcotics Initiative (CACI), US Department of State<br />

website, http://www.state.gov/j/inl/rls/fs/184295.htm (last accessed 19 June<br />

2013).<br />

Goodhand, Jonathan (2012) ‘Contested transitions: international drawdown and<br />

the future state in Afghanistan’, NOREF report, http://tinyurl.com/m7yw9j6 (last<br />

accessed 19 June 2013).<br />

North, Douglass et al. (2007) ‘Limited access orders in the developing world’,<br />

Policy Research Working Paper no. 4359, World Bank,<br />

http://tinyurl.com/l85zyud (last accessed 19 June 2013).<br />

54

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