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Biomass Feasibility Project Final Report - Xcel Energy

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Capacity Factor = The amount of time in a given year, expressed as a percentage, that<br />

an electrical generator is expected to be available for operation. A capacity factor of<br />

85% was used for each potential bio-power feedstock.<br />

Comparing Theoretical, Technical and Economic Availability<br />

The green columns (technical potential) and pink columns (theoretical potential) show that<br />

some biomass categories are virtually 100% technically available, while others drop off<br />

dramatically. Crops, processing residues and animal processing residues are all 100% technically<br />

available. Woody materials are generally available, but almost half of hays, straws and stalks<br />

are technically unavailable because of technological and ecological factors mentioned earlier.<br />

Because beef and sheep manures are difficult to recover, only 63% of them are expected to be<br />

technically available<br />

900000<br />

800000<br />

700000<br />

600000<br />

Billion Btu<br />

500000<br />

400000<br />

300000<br />

200000<br />

100000<br />

0<br />

Theoretical<br />

Agricultural<br />

Residues<br />

Crops<br />

Agricultural<br />

Processing<br />

Residues<br />

Wood<br />

Manures<br />

Animal<br />

Processing<br />

Residues<br />

Human<br />

Wastes<br />

Technical<br />

Economic<br />

Figure III-12: Theoretical, Technical, and Economically Available <strong>Energy</strong><br />

Stepping down from technical availability to economic availability, the blue columns (economic<br />

availability), or lack thereof, show that crops, agricultural processing residues and animal<br />

processing residues are totally eliminated by economic criteria. Only a small portion of hays,<br />

straws and stalks are eliminated by restrictions on harvesting CRP lands. Assuming that logs are<br />

too expensive to use for fuel, woody materials drop off steeply. A significant portion of dairy and<br />

swine manures can’t be captured because only very large herds produce enough to make<br />

anaerobic digesters economically feasible.<br />

Figure III-12 shows that technical limitations on biomass availability are much less important than<br />

economic ones. The majority of the state’s biomass is unlikely to become bio-power feedstock<br />

because it is too expensive for base-load generation. This is ironic because unlike individual<br />

wind turbines, a biomass power plant could theoretically dispatch baseload power 24/7 if it<br />

were not too expensive. But with the appropriate gasification conversion technology biomass<br />

fuel someday may replace natural gas in peaking plants.<br />

Identifying Effective <strong>Biomass</strong> Strategies: Page 37<br />

Quantifying Minnesota’s Resources and Evaluating Future Opportunities

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