19.01.2015 Views

Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog

Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog

Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

foreign policy • revolution <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> arab world • barack obama<br />

position <strong>of</strong> political authority that he is later loath to rel<strong>in</strong>quish. They may<br />

propel a determ<strong>in</strong>ed radical fr<strong>in</strong>ge <strong>in</strong>to power and <strong>the</strong>reby impose an ideology<br />

that has noth<strong>in</strong>g to do with what people thought <strong>the</strong>y were fight<strong>in</strong>g for.<br />

They may go on far longer than anyone imag<strong>in</strong>ed at <strong>the</strong> start.<br />

But for engaged outside powers, such as <strong>the</strong> United States <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Egyptian<br />

situation, a major revolt calls for a leap <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> unknown. If you sit back<br />

and wait, events may simply pass you by. But if you jump <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> fray too<br />

early (or with a mistaken notion <strong>of</strong> what is actually go<strong>in</strong>g on) you may lose<br />

all <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future political construct, whatever that may be. In any<br />

event, you should start th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g about how to repair or rebuild a security<br />

structure that had been safely on autopilot for too long.<br />

Welcome to <strong>the</strong> real world, Mr. Obama.<br />

Gary Sick is adjunct pr<strong>of</strong>essor <strong>of</strong> Middle East politics at Columbia University.<br />

He was a member <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> National Security Council staff under Presidents<br />

Ford, Carter, and Reagan and was <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>cipal White House aide for Iran<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Iranian <strong>Revolution</strong> and <strong>the</strong> subsequent hostage crisis.<br />

178

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!