Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog
Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog
Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog
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foreign policy • revolution <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> arab world • barack obama<br />
where between laughable, bewilder<strong>in</strong>g, and deeply <strong>of</strong>fensive. Suspicion <strong>of</strong><br />
American <strong>in</strong>tentions runs deep, as does folk wisdom about decades <strong>of</strong> U.S.<br />
collaboration with Mubarak. They are not really pars<strong>in</strong>g Hillary Cl<strong>in</strong>ton’s<br />
adjectives. Their protest has a dynamic and energy <strong>of</strong> its own, and while<br />
<strong>the</strong>y certa<strong>in</strong>ly want Obama to take <strong>the</strong>ir side forcefully and unequivocally,<br />
<strong>the</strong>y don’t need it.<br />
What <strong>the</strong>y do need, if <strong>the</strong>y th<strong>in</strong>k about it, is for Obama to help broker an<br />
endgame from <strong>the</strong> top down—to impose restra<strong>in</strong>ts on <strong>the</strong> Egyptian military’s<br />
use <strong>of</strong> violence to repress protests, to force it to get <strong>the</strong> Internet and<br />
mobile phones back onl<strong>in</strong>e, to conv<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> military and o<strong>the</strong>rs with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
regime’s <strong>in</strong>ner circle to ease Mubarak out <strong>of</strong> power, and to try to ensure that<br />
whatever replaces Mubarak commits to a rapid and smooth transition to civilian,<br />
democratic rule. And that’s what <strong>the</strong> adm<strong>in</strong>istration is do<strong>in</strong>g. The adm<strong>in</strong>istration’s<br />
public statements and private actions have to be understood<br />
as not only <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g moral and rhetorical support to <strong>the</strong> protesters, or as<br />
throw<strong>in</strong>g bones to <strong>the</strong> Wash<strong>in</strong>gton echo chamber, but as work<strong>in</strong>g pragmatically<br />
to deliver a positive end<strong>in</strong>g to a still extremely tense and fluid situation.<br />
I completely understand why activists and those who desperately want<br />
<strong>the</strong> protesters to succeed would be frustrated—anyth<strong>in</strong>g short <strong>of</strong> Obama<br />
gripp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> podium and shout<strong>in</strong>g “Down With Mubarak!” probably would<br />
have disappo<strong>in</strong>ted <strong>the</strong>m. But that wasn’t go<strong>in</strong>g to happen, and shouldn’t<br />
have. If Obama had abandoned a major ally <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States such as<br />
Hosni Mubarak without even mak<strong>in</strong>g a phone call, it would have been irresponsible<br />
and would have sent a very dangerous message to every o<strong>the</strong>r U.S.<br />
ally. That doesn’t mean, as some would have it, that Obama has to stick with<br />
Mubarak over <strong>the</strong> long term—or even <strong>the</strong> weekend—but he simply had to<br />
make a show <strong>of</strong> try<strong>in</strong>g to give a long-term ally one last chance to change.<br />
The key l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> his remarks here is this: “When President Mubarak addressed<br />
<strong>the</strong> Egyptian people tonight, he pledged a better democracy and<br />
greater economic opportunity. I just spoke to him after his speech and I told<br />
him he has a responsibility to give mean<strong>in</strong>g to those words, to take concrete<br />
steps and actions that deliver on that promise.”<br />
This is not <strong>the</strong> language <strong>of</strong> capitulation to Mubarak’s empty promises <strong>of</strong><br />
reform. It’s a pretty sharp challenge to him to demonstrate serious change<br />
immediately, which <strong>in</strong> no way commits to back<strong>in</strong>g Mubarak if he fails to<br />
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