Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog

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foreign policy • revolution in the arab world • rumblings Faisal’s reign helped galvanize a generation of Saudi radicalism, creating the political order that he is trying to take apart. There are no indications that a new wave of dissent is on the way, but by looking to re-create the past, rather than finding a way forward, the question of what will follow Abdullah should concern the kingdom—and its most important patron. Toby C. Jones is assistant professor of history at Rutgers University, New Brunswick. He is author of Desert Kingdom: How Oil and Water Forged Modern Saudi Arabia. 22
foreign policy • revolution in the arab world • rumblings July 2010: Can Egypt Change BY STEVEN A. COOK Sometimes it seems that the only things that change in Egypt are the police uniforms. In November, when temperatures dip into the 60s, they don black woolen outfits. A few months later, generally March, when it starts getting quite warm again, they switch back to their white cotton duds. Everything else seems to be just about the way it always was—my one-eyed barber sitting in the same chair today as the day I met him a decade ago; the guys from the baqqel across the street from where I used to live doing just about the same things as they did when I bid them farewell all those years ago; my doorman is still lording over his corner of Mohamed Mazhar Street, and Hosni Mubarak is still the president talking about “stability for the sake of development.” Yet, the president, who has worked with five U.S. counterparts, three of whom served two terms, is sick. Official denials aside, the timeline for succession is more likely 12 to 18 months rather than the three to five years that had been the working assumption until the president’s hospitalization in Germany last March. Mubarak’s imminent demise has prompted analysts, policymakers, journalists, and other observers to ask, “Can Egypt change” While the question seems apt at the twilight of the Mubarak era, it nevertheless seems oddly ahistoric. Of course, Egypt can change. It changed in July 1952 when the Free Officers deposed King Farouk and a short time later disposed of their own initial efforts at reforming Egypt’s parliamentary system in favor of building an entirely new political order. Egypt changed in 1970 when Anwar Sadat succeeded Gamal Abdel Nasser. Out went the statism, the “nonaligned align- 23
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