Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog
Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog
Revolution in the Arab World - Observation of a lost soul Blog
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foreign policy • revolution <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> arab world • rumbl<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
build<strong>in</strong>g public services and civil society. Brennan, one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most adamant<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Obama adm<strong>in</strong>istration about <strong>the</strong> threat <strong>of</strong> al Qaeda <strong>in</strong> Yemen, made<br />
his trip here <strong>in</strong> September 2010 with a letter from Obama to Saleh call<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>the</strong> United States “committed” to help<strong>in</strong>g Yemen.<br />
No one doubts that <strong>the</strong> threat to Saleh’s government from <strong>the</strong> few hundred<br />
al Qaeda fighters here is real. But no one doubts, given Saleh’s history,<br />
that <strong>the</strong> Yemeni leader is try<strong>in</strong>g to exploit that threat to ga<strong>in</strong> foreign aid and<br />
squelch political opponents and dissidents.<br />
The West, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Arab</strong> states <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Persian Gulf, and o<strong>the</strong>rs have already put<br />
$5.7 billion on <strong>of</strong>fer to Yemen s<strong>in</strong>ce 2006, as Yemen’s al Qaeda threat grew.<br />
But Saleh’s <strong>in</strong>effective government has been unable to come up with concrete<br />
spend<strong>in</strong>g and monitor<strong>in</strong>g plans that satisfy <strong>the</strong> donors. The Friends<br />
<strong>of</strong> Yemen conference was <strong>in</strong>tended to sidestep those concerns and come up<br />
with a way to push development regardless, perhaps by establish<strong>in</strong>g an additional<br />
development fund for <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
What Yemen needs most isn’t more cash, though, but a government that<br />
spreads its cash to <strong>the</strong> people, ra<strong>the</strong>r than steals it. Military and domestic aid<br />
given without <strong>the</strong> strictest <strong>of</strong> conditions and oversight will only let Saleh’s<br />
government cont<strong>in</strong>ue to ignore all pressure for reform, perpetuat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
disaffection and suffer<strong>in</strong>g that susta<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>surgencies and al Qaeda.<br />
When it comes to short-sightedness regard<strong>in</strong>g Yemen’s best <strong>in</strong>terests,<br />
Saleh and his rul<strong>in</strong>g family circle have demonstrated a near unerr<strong>in</strong>g propensity<br />
to err s<strong>in</strong>ce he assumed <strong>the</strong> presidency <strong>in</strong> 1978, after lead<strong>in</strong>g a military<br />
coup <strong>in</strong> 1962. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>n, Saleh has built a power system based heavily<br />
on buy<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> goodwill <strong>of</strong> Yemen’s tribal leaders, allegedly pay<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m to<br />
deliver <strong>the</strong> votes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir people <strong>in</strong> election after election.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> first Gulf War, Saleh cast what became known as <strong>the</strong> most expensive<br />
“no” <strong>in</strong> history—vot<strong>in</strong>g aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>in</strong>ternational deployment to roll back<br />
Saddam Husse<strong>in</strong>’s <strong>in</strong>vasion <strong>of</strong> Kuwait. Yemen’s Gulf neighbors expelled<br />
Yemeni workers from <strong>the</strong>ir countries, last<strong>in</strong>gly depriv<strong>in</strong>g Yemen <strong>of</strong> remittances,<br />
<strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>stay <strong>of</strong> its t<strong>in</strong>y economy.<br />
The blunders cont<strong>in</strong>ued. Saleh allowed al Qaeda members to make <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
homes here as long as <strong>the</strong>y didn’t target his government (a gentleman’s<br />
agreement broken only <strong>in</strong> recent years). Instead <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Yemenis after <strong>the</strong> 1994 north-south civil war, Saleh marg<strong>in</strong>alized <strong>the</strong>m, po-<br />
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