Early on 30 January, a tropical low formed in theCoral Sea region and intensified into TC Ellie, aCat- 1 storm, on 1 February. TC Ellie reached peakwinds of 43 kt and made landfall in Australia on 2February. Torrential rain from the dying end of thisstorm flooded parts of Northern Queensland andcaused damages estimated at $110 million (AUS). TCInnes was the third to form in the southwest Pacificand initiated on 13 February as a tropical depressioneast of Fiji. On 17 February, after passing overVanuatu and moving toward New Caledonia, Inneswas upgraded to a TC. No significant impacts or lossof life were reported from this system. Subsequently,on ex-tropical transition, the dying remains of TCInnes merged with a low pressure system to the eastof Australia that generated significant rainfall innorthern New Zealand.Four TCs affected the southwest Pacific regionduring March. TC Hamish formed off the Australiancoast in the Coral Sea on 5 March. TC Joni followedon 11 March, and formed near the Southern CookIslands and attained a maximum intensity of 55 kt.Damage in the Southern Cooks from TC Joni wasminimal. TC Ken then formed between Niue andthe Southern Cook Islands on 17 March, attained amaximum intensity of 50 kt, and did not affect landareas. TC Jasper entered the southwest Pacific fromthe Coral Sea on 24 March with storm intensity andlater passed through New Caledonia’s waters, withno significant damage reported. Only one TC (Lin)formed in the basin during April. TC Lin formed on4 April east of Fiji and passed over Tongatapu on 5April. Sustained winds for Lin were estimated at 55kt with gusts up to 80 kt closer to the storm’s center.7) Australian Region basin—B. C. TrewinThe 2008/09 TC season was near normal in thebroader Australian basin (areas south of the Equatorand between 90°E and 160°E 12 , which includes Australian,Papua New Guinea, and Indonesian areas ofresponsibility). The season produced 10 TCs, equalto the long-term average. There were four TCs inthe eastern sector 13 of the Australian region during2008/09, five TCs in the western sector (one of which12 The Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s warning area overlapsboth the southern Indian Ocean and Southwest Pacific.13The western sector covers areas between 90°E and 125°E.The eastern sector covers areas east of the eastern Australiancoast to 160°E, as well as the eastern half of the Gulf ofCarpentaria. The northern sector covers areas from 125°Eto the western half of the Gulf of Carpentaria.formed in the northern sector before moving west),and one in the northern sector. There were four landfallsduring the season.The most intense TC of the season was Hamish,which tracked south-east, parallel to the Queenslandcoast, from 5 to 11 March. It reached its maximumintensity on 7 March while near 19°S, 150°E (approximately200 km offshore from Bowen), with estimatedmaximum gusts of 160 kt, maximum sustained windsof 115 kt, and a minimum central pressure of 925hPa, making it the most intense cyclone observed 14in the vicinity of the Queensland coast since 1918.It remained at Cat- 4 or 5 intensity 15 for three days.While Hamish posed a substantial potential threatto the Queensland coast, it did not make landfallor approach the coast closely enough to cause anysignificant damage on land. However, two lives werelost at sea, and damage to a ship from the associatedlarge waves resulted in a serious oil slick and coastalpollution in the Brisbane area.Four TCs made landfall during the season, thestrongest being Cat- 2. None caused significantdamage through wind or storm surge, but all wereassociated with flooding. Billy made landfall nearWyndham, Western Australia on 20 December asa Cat- 2 system, causing minor tree damage andwidespread flooding through the Kimberley region.The system later reintensified as it moved back overthe ocean and ultimately peaked at Cat- 4 intensity(maximum gusts 135 kt, maximum sustained winds95 kt, minimum central pressure 950 hPa) on 24December, when north of Port Hedland and movingaway from the coast.Two short-lived Cat- 1 systems affected Queenslandearly in <strong>2009</strong>. Charlotte made landfall near the GilbertRiver Mouth, on the east coast of the Gulf ofCarpentaria, on 12 January, while Ellie made landfallnorth of Cardwell, on the east coast, on 1 February.Both moved over areas that were already experiencingflooding and hence exacerbated conditions.The Herbert River catchment was severely affected,particularly around Ingham, which received 1481mm of rain from 25 January to 9 February, including949 mm from 30 January to 4 February. The heaviestdaily total associated with the system was 497 mm atHawkins Creek, northwest of Ingham.14Note that it is likely that the intensity of many cycloneswas underestimated prior to the use of satellite data fromthe 1970s.15 See http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/faq/index.shtml for a definition of Australian TC categories.S98 | juNE 2010
Fig. 4.26. Global anomalies of TCHP correspondingto <strong>2009</strong> computed as described in the text. The boxesindicate the seven regions where TCs occur: fromleft to right, Southwest Indian, North Indian, WestPacific, Southeast Indian, South Pacific, East Pacific,and North Atlantic (shown as Gulf of Mexico and tropicalAtlantic separately). The green lines indicate thetrajectories of all tropical cyclones reaching at leastCat- 1 (1-minute average maximum wind ≥119 km hr -1 )and above during November 2008–December <strong>2009</strong> inthe Southern Hemisphere and <strong>2009</strong> in the NorthernHemisphere. The numbers above each box correspondto the number of Cat- 1 and above cyclones that travelwithin each box. The Gulf of Mexico conditions duringJune–November <strong>2009</strong> are shown in detail in the insertshown in the lower right corner.The fourth landfalling system of the season wasDominic, a Cat- 2 system (maximum gusts 75 kt,maximum sustained winds 55 kt, minimum centralpressure 976 hPa) which made landfall near Onslow,Western Australia on 27 January. As for theQueensland systems, the principal impact was flooding,with daily rainfall totals of 243 mm at ThevenardIsland and 238 mm at Onslow Airport. Of those TCsthat did not make landfall, the most intense was Ilsa,which peaked at Cat- 3 intensity (maximum gusts125 kt, maximum sustained winds 90 kt, minimumcentral pressure 958 hPa) on 19 March when morethan 1000 km off the Western Australiancoast, near 16°S, 107°E.2008, <strong>2009</strong>), provided that atmospheric conditions arealso favorable. The TCHP shows high spatial and temporalvariability associated with oceanic mesoscalefeatures that can be globally detected with satellitealtimetry TCHP (Goni et al. <strong>2009</strong>). In general, thereal-time forecast of TC intensity is highly dependenton track forecasts and many of the errors introducedin the track forecast are translated into the intensityforecast (Mainelli, et al. 2008). Clearly, areas withhigh values of TCHP may be important only whenTCs travel over them.To examine the interannual variability of TCHPwith respect to TCs, TCHP anomalies are computedduring the months of TC activity in each hemisphere:June through November <strong>2009</strong> in the Northern Hemisphereand from November 2008 through April <strong>2009</strong>in the Southern Hemisphere. Anomalies are definedas departures from the mean TCHP calculated duringthe same months for the period 1993 to <strong>2009</strong>. Theseanomalies show large variability within and amongthe TC basins (Fig. 4.26).The WNP basin exhibits the anomalies from theEl Niño conditions, which have been in place in theequatorial Pacific Ocean since June <strong>2009</strong>. Similar tothe conditions during 2008, the South Pacific basinshowed mostly positive anomalies. The NIO basinexhibited positive values in the Bay of Bengal andin the Arabian Sea. The Gulf of Mexico (Figs. 4.26,4.27) showed mostly positive values except for asmall region of negative values, which was probablydue to a different location of the Loop Current. Thetropical Atlantic exhibited mostly positive values,which is also observed in sea height and SST fields(http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/regsatprod/atln/index.php).The ENP season was very active although thefirst named storm of the season did not developuntil late in June, being the latest start of the ENPe. TC heat potential (TCHP)—G. J. Goni, J. A.Knaff, and I-I LinTCHP is discussed here for the seven TCbasins previously documented as a way tosummarize that activity from a slightly differentperspective. The TCHP, defined hereas the ocean heat content contained betweenthe sea surface and the depth of the 26°Cisotherm, has been shown to be more closelylinked than SST to intensity changes (Shay etal. 2000; Goni and Trinanes, 2003; Lin et al.,Fig. 4.27. Differences between the TCHP fields in <strong>2009</strong> and 2008.<strong>STATE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> <strong>CLIMATE</strong> <strong>IN</strong> <strong>2009</strong> juNE 2010 |S99
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Luo, Jing-Jia, Research Institute f
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Tedesco, Marco, Department Earth an
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4. THE TROPICS.....................
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ABSTRACT—M. O. Baringer, D. S. Ar
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I. INTRODUCTION—M. O. Baringer an
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Table 1.1 The GCOS Essential Climat
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S18 | juNE 2010
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Stratospheric TemperatureCloudiness
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Source Datasets Sectionhttp://www.p
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HOW do WE KNOW THE WORLD HAS WARMED
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Fig. 2.6. As for Fig. 2.1 but for l
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Fig. 2.10. Change in TCWV from 2008
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Precipitation anomalies in 2009, ov
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Fig. 2.18. Seasonal SCE anomalies (
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USING SI-TRACABLE GLOBAL POSITIONIN
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6) Lake levels—C. BirkettLake vol
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Fig. 2.30. (a) The daily AO index f
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(C) Carbon monoxide (CO)There has b
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Table 2.5. Mixing ratios, radiative
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EXTREME rainfall and the flood of t
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Fig. 7.14. Composite for standardiz
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Fig. 7.17. Daily maximum temperatur
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(ii) PrecipitationDecember to Febru
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For Zimbabwe, the rainfall season,
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Fig. 7.28. Annual mean temperature
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Fig. 7.31. Seasonal anomalies (1961
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(1706-2009), and new national recor
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cold in southern and central Finlan
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EXCEPTIONAL storm strikes northern
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7.32b). April was particularly mild
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to -44 о С) persisted in southern
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Fig. 7.39. Weather conditions in De
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on the 1971-2000 climatology) for a
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excess rainfall, while 11 subdivisi
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4) Southwest Asia(i) Iraq—M. Roge
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Wales. The warmth was particularly
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The most significant severe thunder
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mm thick, which fell on parts of No
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and Vanua Levu islands (Fiji) as a
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Table 7.5. Maximum temperature anom
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8. SEASONAL SUMMARIES—Mike Halper
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Fig. 8.5. Jun-Aug 2009 (top) surfac
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTSIn addition to the m
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CFCCFC-11CFC-12CH 4Chl satCIIFENClC
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OAFlux Objectively Analyzed Air-Sea
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Ashok, K., S. K. Behera, S. A. Rao,
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Cangialosi, J. P., and L. A. Avila,
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Francis, J. A., W. Chan, D. J. Leat
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Hudson, J. M. G., and G. H. R. Henr
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Landsea, C. W., and W. M. Gray, 199
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Meinen, C. S., M. O. Baringer, and
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Ramaswamy, V., M. D. Schwarzkopf, W
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——, ——, T. C. Peterson, and
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Wang, L., C. Derksen, and R. Brown,
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Monthly average temperature anomali