drew in the 3rd pentad of October. The intensityindex of the SCSM was -0.35, near normal. Fromthe 6th pentad of May to the 2nd pentad of August,the SCSM was stronger than normal, while aftermid-August it became weaker than normal (Fig.7.42). At the end of September, the warm and wetair swiftly retreated south of 25ºN, and hence by thethird pentad of October the summer monsoon hadwithdrawn from the SCS.3) South Asia—M.Rajeevan, A. K.Srivastava, and J.RevadekarCountries considered in this section include:Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka.(i) TemperaturesDuring <strong>2009</strong>, South Asia experienced notablywarmer-than-normal conditions. January and Februarywere characterized by unusually high temperatures.Prolonged breaks during the summer monsoonseason also resulted in above-average temperatures,with many stations reporting their highest temperatureson record. Similarly, during the winter season,many parts of India and Pakistan experienced meantemperatures 3°C–5°C above their 1961–90 normal.The annual mean temperature for India was+0.91°C above average, making <strong>2009</strong> the warmest yearsince nationwide records commenced in 1901 (Fig7.43). This superceded the previous five warmest yearson record, notably 2002 (+0.71°C), 2006 (+0.60°C),2003 (+0.56°C), 2007 (+0.55°C), and 2004 (+0.51°C).January (+1.43°C) and August (+1.00°C) mean monthlyanomalies were also the highest since 1901, while theanomalies for February, September, and Decemberwere all second highest since records began. The recentdecade (2001–09) was the warmest decade on recordover India with decadal mean temperature of 0.59°C.Fig 7.42. Variation of pentad zonal wind index over the monitoringregion (10°N–20ºN, 110°E–120ºE). Red open bars areclimatology (Unit: m s –1 ) (Source: China Meteorological Administration.)S176 | juNE 2010Fig 7.43. Annual mean temperature anomalies (withrespect to 1961–90 normal) averaged over India for theperiod 1901–<strong>2009</strong>. The smoothed time series (9-pointbinomial filter) is shown as a continuous line.(ii) PrecipitationThe summer monsoon season (June–September)contributes 60%–90% of the annual rainfall overmajor portions of South Asia. In <strong>2009</strong>, South Asiaexperienced one of its worst droughts since recordsbegan in 1875.For India, the long-term average (LTA) value ofthe summer monsoon rainfall, calculated usingall data from 1941 to 1990, is 890 mm. For <strong>2009</strong>,the summer monsoon seasonal rainfall over Indiawas only 78% of its LTA value, marking <strong>2009</strong> asthe driest monsoon season since 1972 (76% ofLTA). During the season, most parts of the countryexperienced large rainfall deficiencies (Fig. 7.44). Theonset phase of monsoon <strong>2009</strong> was characterized by anearly onset (23 May) over the southern parts of India.However, the formation and northward movementof tropical cyclone Aila over the Bay of Bengal andthe persistent intrusion of dry air into theSouth Asian region due to eastward movingmid-latitude troughs disrupted the northwardprogress of the monsoon. The slow progressof the monsoon resulted in a record rainfalldeficiency (47% below normal) for June overthe country. Rainfall activity during July wasnear normal with monthly rainfall of 96% ofthe LTA. However, rainfall activity was againsuppressed both in August (73% of LTA) andSeptember (80% of LTA), making the <strong>2009</strong>summer monsoon season the second mostdeficient season since records began in 1875.During the season, of the 36 meteorologicalsubdivisions, only three received
excess rainfall, while 11 subdivisions receivednormal rainfall and the remaining 22 subdivisionsreceived deficient rainfall. Out of 516meteorological districts for which rainfall datawere available, 59% of districts received 80% orless of their LTA. The <strong>2009</strong> summer monsoon wasalso characterized by strong intraseasonal variability(Fig. 7.45). Consistent with the observed decreasingtrend in the frequency of monsoon depressions overthe Indian Ocean, only four short-lived depressionsformed during the season, against the long-termaverage of seven.Over India, rainfall activity during the winter andpre-monsoon seasons was also below average. In <strong>2009</strong>,the annual rainfall over the country was the mostdeficient (20% below normal) since records beganin 1875, surpassing the previous record set in 1972.During the winter, rainfall over the country was 46%below normal, while during the pre-monsoon season(March–May), rainfall deficiency was 32%. While nodrought had occurred over South Asia in the previousdecade (1991–2000), the recent decade (2001–09) witnessedthree major droughts in 2002, 2004, and <strong>2009</strong>.During the <strong>2009</strong> summer monsoon season,Pakistan also experienced one of its worst droughts.The area-weighted summer monsoon rainfall overPakistan was 26% below its LTA. Mostparts of the country, with the exceptionof Karachi and Hyderabad (southwestSindh), experienced large rainfall deficienciesduring the season. As a result,the <strong>2009</strong> monsoon season rainfall wasthe third lowest in the most recentdecade (2001–09), after 2002 (54% deficiency)and 2004 (38%). Rainfall in July,August, and September was 9%, 41%,and 37% below normal, respectively.The observeddrought over theregion had severalpossible causes.These include theEl Niño-Modoki(wa r m i ng overthe Central Pacific;Ratnam et.al 2010), unusuallywarm equatorialIndian Ocean seasurface temperatures(Francis andGadgil 2010), and the formation of an anomalousblocking high over west Asia with the associated descentof dry air into the Indian region (Krishnamurtiet al. 2010).The northeast monsoon (NEM) sets in oversouthern peninsular India during October and overSri Lanka in late November. The NEM contributes30% to 50% of the annual rainfall over southernpeninsular India and Sri Lanka as a whole. The <strong>2009</strong>NEM seasonal rainfall over south peninsular Indiawas above normal (110% of LTA), consistent with theobserved relationship with El Niño. During the firstweek of November, heavy rainfall caused significantflooding and landslides in the southern Indian stateof Tamil Nadu, sadly leading to the deaths of about75 people. Above-normal rainfall was also reportedover Sri Lanka during the season.Fig. 7.44. Monsoonal (Jun–Sep) rainfall over India in <strong>2009</strong>. (a) actual, (b) normal (baseperiod) and, (c) anomalies (with respect to base period.)(iii) Notable eventsHeat wave/hot day conditions prevailed over partsof central and peninsular India during the first threeweeks of March; over the northern parts of the countryon many days during April; and over northern,central, and peninsular parts of the country duringthe second half of May. There were approximately 150Fig. 7.45. Daily standardized rainfall time series averaged over themonsoon region of India (1 June to 30 September <strong>2009</strong>).<strong>STATE</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>THE</strong> <strong>CLIMATE</strong> <strong>IN</strong> <strong>2009</strong> juNE 2010 |S177
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Luo, Jing-Jia, Research Institute f
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Tedesco, Marco, Department Earth an
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4. THE TROPICS.....................
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ABSTRACT—M. O. Baringer, D. S. Ar
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I. INTRODUCTION—M. O. Baringer an
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Table 1.1 The GCOS Essential Climat
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S18 | juNE 2010
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Stratospheric TemperatureCloudiness
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Source Datasets Sectionhttp://www.p
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HOW do WE KNOW THE WORLD HAS WARMED
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Fig. 2.6. As for Fig. 2.1 but for l
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Fig. 2.10. Change in TCWV from 2008
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Precipitation anomalies in 2009, ov
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Fig. 2.18. Seasonal SCE anomalies (
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USING SI-TRACABLE GLOBAL POSITIONIN
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6) Lake levels—C. BirkettLake vol
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Fig. 2.30. (a) The daily AO index f
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(C) Carbon monoxide (CO)There has b
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Table 2.5. Mixing ratios, radiative
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the mid-1990s but has since levelle
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with all 42 glaciers observed retre
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of 0.1° and 5 days (Kaiser et al.
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Fig. 3.1. (a) Yearly mean SSTAs in
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(Fig. 3.3c). It is interesting that
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strong there, consistent with anoma
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cont'RECENT ADVANCES IN OUR UNDERST
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is to cause SST to rise if oceanic
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egions around the subtropical salin
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Fig 3.17. Principal empirical ortho
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Fig. 3.19. Daily estimates of the s
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Fig. 3.22. (top) The 2009 SSH anoma
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to update the CO 2climatology, ther
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µmol kg -1 or about half of the ac
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Fig. 3.31. (a) Average MODIS-Aqua C
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latitudes, chlorophyll and thermal
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Fig. 4.4. (a) Anomalous 850-hPa win
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(Fig. 4.6). These include four MJO
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Fig. 4.8. NOAA’s ACE index expres
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Fig. 4.14. ASO 2009: Anomalous 200-
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Fig. 4.17. The tracks of all TCs th
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Several previous studies have shown
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followed by TY Linfa and TS Nangka
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The Philippines were severely affec
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The historical SIO TC data is proba
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Fig. 4.26. Global anomalies of TCHP
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degree resolution NASA TRMM rainfal
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F i g. 4.32 . TRMM (a) mean and (b)
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THE forgotten sub-BASIN—THE centr
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5. THE ARCTIC—J. Richter-Menge, E
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and North America (south of 55° la
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Fig. 5.8. 2007-09 Atlantic water la
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d. Sea ice cover—D. Perovich, R.
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e. Land1) Vegetation—D. A. Walker
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Fig. 5.18. Total annual river disch
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negative SCD anomalies were evident
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with records beginning in 1873, the
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(QuikSCAT, 2000-09) microwave remot
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