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Prospectus re Admission to the Official List - Heritage Oil

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RPS Energy<strong>Heritage</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> – Competent Persons Report50,00045,00040,00035,000Gross <strong>Oil</strong> Rate (stb/d)30,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,000027FEB2008043332262007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032Figu<strong>re</strong> 24: 3P Production Profile for Zapadno ChumpasskoyeThe summary output from <strong>the</strong> th<strong>re</strong>e RPS cases, combined with <strong>the</strong> STOIIP estimates from 4.3, above isgiven in Table 20:1P 2P 3PSTOIIP (MMstb) .............................................. 90.3 233.0 419.0URR (11) (MMstb) .............................................. 24.9 64.4 172.8URR/well (MMstb) ............................................ 0.509 0.767 0.971Table 20: Summary of Results for Zapadno Chumpasskoye (12)This range of outcomes is <strong>re</strong>asonable for <strong>the</strong> range of <strong>re</strong>servoir quality expected <strong>to</strong> be encounte<strong>re</strong>d in<strong>the</strong> block.Developmental RiskWe have categorised <strong>the</strong>se volumes as <strong>re</strong>serves despite <strong>the</strong> absence of formal approval of <strong>the</strong> FFD as <strong>the</strong><strong>re</strong>is a <strong>re</strong>asonable expectation that all <strong>re</strong>qui<strong>re</strong>d internal and external approvals will be forthcoming, and <strong>the</strong><strong>re</strong>is evidence of firm intention <strong>to</strong> proceed with development within a <strong>re</strong>asonable time frame (as <strong>re</strong>qui<strong>re</strong>dunder SPE et al. guidelines).At this p<strong>re</strong>-production stage, <strong>the</strong><strong>re</strong> a<strong>re</strong> developmental risks, in addition <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> obvious <strong>re</strong>servoir risks.These risks, which may impact <strong>the</strong> timing and amount of futu<strong>re</strong> cash flow—all standard at this stage of adevelopment and by no means specific <strong>to</strong> for Zapadno Chumpasskoye—include but may not be limited <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> following: The timing and any conditions of <strong>the</strong> formal approval by <strong>the</strong> Russian authorities of <strong>the</strong> developmentplan efficient functioning of <strong>the</strong> facilities; The timing and operation of a <strong>re</strong>placement drilling rig; we note that <strong>Heritage</strong> is in <strong>re</strong>ceipt of acommercial tender for a superior rig; The timing, location and <strong>re</strong>sults of <strong>the</strong> numerous development wells <strong>to</strong> be drilled;(11) Ultimately Recoverable Resources—this may not be <strong>the</strong> finally quoted <strong>re</strong>serves (see economics section) if economic analysisterminates <strong>the</strong> profile befo<strong>re</strong> this cumulative is <strong>re</strong>ached.(12) The<strong>re</strong> a<strong>re</strong> no commercial gas <strong>re</strong>serves as all gas is and will be used in <strong>the</strong> field for fuel, fla<strong>re</strong> pilot and so on, with <strong>the</strong> <strong>re</strong>mainderfla<strong>re</strong>d. We a<strong>re</strong> not awa<strong>re</strong> of any limitations <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> volume of gas that can be fla<strong>re</strong>d.104

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