Prospectus re Admission to the Official List - Heritage Oil
Prospectus re Admission to the Official List - Heritage Oil
Prospectus re Admission to the Official List - Heritage Oil
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RPS Energy<strong>Heritage</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> – Competent Persons ReportThis fo<strong>re</strong>cast price was used as <strong>the</strong> basis for all o<strong>the</strong>r price fo<strong>re</strong>casts <strong>re</strong>qui<strong>re</strong>d for <strong>the</strong> valuation. Theseprices a<strong>re</strong> summarised in Table 32. Details of how each price deck was derived can be found in <strong>the</strong> sectionsbelow for each asset.Oman Russia Kurdistan<strong>Oil</strong> Condensate LPG GasBukha/ Bukha/Bukha/ West West West UralsWest West Saudi Saudi Bukha Bukha Bukha Bukha Export KirkukBukha NWS Bukha Propane Butane Propane Butane Gas Gas Blend Domestic BlendYear $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl $/<strong>to</strong>nne $/<strong>to</strong>nne $/<strong>to</strong>nne $/<strong>to</strong>nne $/MMBTU $/MMBTU $/bbl $/bbl $/bbl2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88.59 85.75 83.05 662.74 675.85 530.19 540.68 0.00 1.00 84.16 42.08 82.392008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85.00 82.35 79.65 640.97 653.51 512.77 522.81 0.00 1.00 80.75 40.38 79.052009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82.00 79.51 76.81 622.78 634.84 498.22 507.87 0.00 1.00 77.90 38.95 76.262010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80.00 77.62 74.92 610.65 622.39 488.52 497.91 0.00 1.00 76.00 38.00 74.402011 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78.00 75.72 73.02 598.52 609.95 478.82 487.96 0.00 1.00 74.10 37.05 72.542012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77.00 74.77 72.07 592.45 603.72 473.96 482.98 0.00 1.00 73.15 36.58 71.612013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77.29 75.05 72.35 594.21 605.53 475.37 484.42 0.00 1.00 73.43 36.71 71.882014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78.83 76.51 73.81 603.55 615.11 482.84 492.09 0.00 1.00 74.89 37.44 73.312015 . . . . . . . . . . . . . +2%pa +2%pa +2%pa +2%pa +2%pa +2%pa +2%pa 0.00 1.00 +2%pa +2%pa +2%paTable 32:Table of Base Case Fo<strong>re</strong>cast Prices7.2. Valuation Methodology7.2.1. Reserves1P, 2P and 3P <strong>re</strong>serves we<strong>re</strong> valued using sp<strong>re</strong>adsheet based discounted cash flow models. Each model wasbased on <strong>the</strong> applicable contract terms and a fo<strong>re</strong>cast of futu<strong>re</strong> production and costs.7.2.2. Contingent and Prospective ResourcesThe only 1C, 2C and 3C contingent and prospective <strong>re</strong>sources in <strong>the</strong> portfolio a<strong>re</strong> in Block 1 and 3A,Uganda and, at <strong>the</strong> <strong>re</strong>quest of <strong>Heritage</strong>, we<strong>re</strong> not valued.7.2.3. O<strong>the</strong>r (Miran)In <strong>the</strong> case of <strong>the</strong> Miran Contract a<strong>re</strong>a in Kurdistan no prospect or lead has yet been properly defined. Thevaluation <strong>the</strong><strong>re</strong>fo<strong>re</strong> involved illustrating <strong>the</strong> value of a number of notional fields on a <strong>re</strong>coverable volumevs. value plot as an indication of <strong>the</strong> potential value of success in this block.7.3. Oman—Block 87.3.1. Fiscal Regime and Contract TermsThe Block 8 Petroleum Ag<strong>re</strong>ement was signed in February 1985 and has a Development Period of 30 yearsfrom date of first commercial discovery. The<strong>re</strong> is also an option <strong>to</strong> extend this for a fur<strong>the</strong>r 10 years underterms <strong>to</strong> be negotiated which shall be no less favourable than those under which o<strong>the</strong>r oil companies a<strong>re</strong><strong>the</strong>n operating in Oman.The extended details of <strong>the</strong> Block 8 PSC a<strong>re</strong> subject <strong>to</strong> confidentiality ag<strong>re</strong>ements. However, RPS Energyconfirms that it has had full access <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> final, signed copy of PSC under <strong>the</strong> terms of such ag<strong>re</strong>ements andthat <strong>the</strong> commercial terms <strong>the</strong><strong>re</strong>in have been built in<strong>to</strong> our economics models. The RPS valuation honoursfully <strong>the</strong>se commercial terms.The commercial structu<strong>re</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Block 8 PSC is in our opinion, very similar <strong>to</strong> standard PSC’s with <strong>the</strong>Contrac<strong>to</strong>r’s entitlement <strong>re</strong>venue comprising of Cost <strong>Oil</strong> (defined as a maximum percentage of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal<strong>re</strong>venue) and Profit <strong>Oil</strong> (sha<strong>re</strong>d between <strong>the</strong> Contrac<strong>to</strong>r and <strong>the</strong> Government based on a fixed percentageof <strong>the</strong> <strong>re</strong>venue less any cost oil). The<strong>re</strong> a<strong>re</strong> no royalty payments due under <strong>the</strong> contract and <strong>the</strong>Contrac<strong>to</strong>r’s Income Tax liability is paid by <strong>the</strong> Government out of its sha<strong>re</strong> of Profit <strong>Oil</strong>.7.3.2. Price Assumptions7.3.2.1. CondensateThe cur<strong>re</strong>nt Bukha condensate contract price for <strong>the</strong> cur<strong>re</strong>nt month is based on <strong>the</strong> average mean quotesof APPI NWS oil during <strong>the</strong> p<strong>re</strong>vious month plus <strong>the</strong> mean of <strong>the</strong> Platts NWS diffe<strong>re</strong>ntial for <strong>the</strong> month120