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Prospectus re Admission to the Official List - Heritage Oil

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RPS Energy<strong>Heritage</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> – Competent Persons Reportsteadily declined and during 2007 <strong>the</strong> average condensate yield was 40.9 stb/MMscf, while <strong>the</strong> LPG yieldhas inc<strong>re</strong>ased <strong>to</strong> 27.2 stb/MMscf in 2007.3.2.4.2. DevelopmentThe Bukha field has been developed using a minimum facilities, unmanned platform with one sub-sea well(Bukha-1) and one platform-completed well (Bukha-2). Bukha-1 is tied <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> platform via a 6’’ flexibleflow line of 1.2 km. The platform is connected <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> onsho<strong>re</strong> gas processing plant via a 16’’ carbon steelpipeline of 34 km.Cumulative production <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> end of 2007 was approximately 199 Bscf <strong>re</strong>servoir gas, 13.1 MMstbcondensate and 4.5 MMstb LPG.3.2.4.3. Production Fo<strong>re</strong>castsTo obtain a fo<strong>re</strong>cast for wet gas this year, <strong>the</strong> 2007 monthly data from January up <strong>to</strong> September 2007 we<strong>re</strong>used. RPS had no data for <strong>the</strong> subsequent months. The his<strong>to</strong>ric data suggests a clear decline in <strong>the</strong> gasproduction. However, field performance has exceeded RPS’s p<strong>re</strong>vious fo<strong>re</strong>cast (for 2006 year-end<strong>re</strong>serves). To this end, and honouring <strong>the</strong> most <strong>re</strong>cent data, linear t<strong>re</strong>nds we<strong>re</strong> fitted <strong>to</strong> a wet gas rate vs.cumulative wet gas plot <strong>to</strong> obtain 1P and 2P cases, and a hyperbolic t<strong>re</strong>nd was fitted for <strong>the</strong> 3P case(Figu<strong>re</strong> 6).60Wet Gas Rate - His<strong>to</strong>ryWet gas rate 2007501P Fo<strong>re</strong>cast2P Fo<strong>re</strong>castWet Gas Rate (MMscf/d)4030203P Fo<strong>re</strong>castDec-071001998 2000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019Figu<strong>re</strong> 6: Bukha Wet Gas His<strong>to</strong>ry and Fo<strong>re</strong>cast21FEB200823144965Condensate Gas Ratio (CGR) plotted against cumulative wet gas shows how <strong>the</strong> condensate yield changesalong with <strong>the</strong> field production. A clear and unique t<strong>re</strong>nd was visible in line with expected behaviour and itis been used for <strong>the</strong> 1P, 2P and 3P cases (Figu<strong>re</strong> 7).81

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