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Prospectus re Admission to the Official List - Heritage Oil

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RPS Energy<strong>Heritage</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> – Competent Persons Report7.5.3. Valuation summaryIn <strong>the</strong> absence of any data upon which <strong>to</strong> assess <strong>the</strong> potential of <strong>the</strong> Miran contract a<strong>re</strong>a <strong>the</strong> range inpossible value has been illustrated in <strong>the</strong> figu<strong>re</strong> below. This plot demonstrates <strong>the</strong> possible range inunrisked NPV 10 (net <strong>to</strong> <strong>Heritage</strong>) for a range of notional field sizes and could be used as an indica<strong>to</strong>r of<strong>the</strong> possible value of <strong>the</strong> contract a<strong>re</strong>a. Curves a<strong>re</strong> p<strong>re</strong>sented for a low and high oil price in addition <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>Base Case price fo<strong>re</strong>cast.$4,500NPV10 Net <strong>to</strong> <strong>Heritage</strong>, MMUS$$4,000$3,500$3,000$2,500$2,000$1,500$1,000High price ($90/bbl)Base price ($70/bbl)Low price ($50/bbl)$500$0- 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200Gross Recoverable <strong>Oil</strong>, Economic Life of Contract, MMstbFigu<strong>re</strong> 34: <strong>Heritage</strong> Net NPV 10 vs. Notional Field Size Showing Price Sensitivity28FEB200808431129Net NPV 10 and average for NPV 10c per bar<strong>re</strong>l for <strong>the</strong> Base Case oil price fo<strong>re</strong>cast a<strong>re</strong> given in Table 42for <strong>the</strong> range of <strong>re</strong>coverable volumes based on <strong>the</strong> notional field sizes RPS has assumed.Net NPV 10 and Average forNPV 10 /stb at Base Case PriceFo<strong>re</strong>castsLow Case Mid Case High CaseGross Recoverable <strong>Oil</strong> Volume (MMstb) ....................... 138 520 1,138NPV 10 Net <strong>to</strong> <strong>Heritage</strong> (US$MM) ............................ 413 1,366 2,952Average NPV 10 /stb ......................................US$2.6Table 42:Net NPV 10 and Average for NPV 10 /stb for a Range of Notional Field Sizes126

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