Warning Analysis for the Information Age - Higgins Counterterrorism ...
Warning Analysis for the Information Age - Higgins Counterterrorism ...
Warning Analysis for the Information Age - Higgins Counterterrorism ...
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
task-relevant documents in whatever <strong>for</strong>mat <strong>the</strong>y were retrieved: books, articles,paper copies of intelligence reports. Hypo<strong>the</strong>sis testing is built on doing keyexperiments based on assumptions of <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>sis; as alternative hypo<strong>the</strong>sesare tested, discarded, and reconsidered, <strong>the</strong> researcher needs a place to store andrecall <strong>the</strong> experimental result—<strong>the</strong> “lab notebook.” Since <strong>the</strong> all-source analystworks with experiments done by o<strong>the</strong>rs, that is with data input by collectors, this“shoebox” represents <strong>the</strong> analyst notebook of relevant documents <strong>for</strong> future reference.This “shoebox” has huge value-added in that <strong>the</strong> analyst has looked at <strong>the</strong>document and assessed that <strong>the</strong> material contained within <strong>the</strong> document is relevantto <strong>the</strong> assessments he or she needs to make. [One of <strong>the</strong> major reasons mostIC analysts are prone to stay with <strong>the</strong>ir paper copies or MS Word electronic shoeboxesis that no current IT systems have any reasonable methods <strong>for</strong> buildingelectronic shoeboxes from heterogeneous data. This kind of DB currently doesnot exist in useable <strong>for</strong>mat; Pathfinder on JIVA at DIA is slated to serve this purpose,but available options <strong>for</strong> data-entry of relevant records by analysts remaintoo cumbersome to be of any use. A major goal in any IT system used <strong>for</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>sistesting or MDA is to be able to build an electronic “shoebox” rapidly andeasily.](2) DATA COLLECTION/SHOEBOX DB = TEXT storage of task-relevantrecords.Input = (1) First-pass analyst input of relevant records.(2) Feedback input through direct analyst query of or setup to datamining tool.Processing = TEXT data mining (such as Pathfinder and text-mining analyticaltools).Output = Presentation of filtered or data-mined records to all-source analysts.Analysts read <strong>the</strong> presented records from <strong>the</strong> SHOEBOX DB and:■ Analyze: Analyst evaluates data recalled from SHOEBOX DB byQUERY or by SHOEBOX DB TEXT data mining tool.■ Re<strong>for</strong>mat: Analyst re<strong>for</strong>mats important records into METATEXT <strong>for</strong>entry into ENTITY DB. These are used in build facility, organization,and project profiles, and personnel biographies.The data prep is most difficult to characterize. 63(3) ENTITY DB (Evidence File) = METATEXT storage of filtered/analyzedrecords.63 Abbott.143