Commuter Rail Extension Alternatives Analysis - Transportation ...

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CALTRAIN EXTENSION TO MONTEREY COUNTYALTERNATIVES ANALYSISTable 8-3Total Travel Times (minutes) for Auto/Caltrain/Express Bus JourneysOrigin StationDestination Station Pajaro Castroville Salinas2010San Jose (Santa Clara–Mid) 79/120/120 81/136/136 84/147/147Mountain View (Santa Clara–North) 126/146/146 128/162/162 131/173/1732030San Jose (Santa Clara–Mid) 91/120/132 99/136/152 104/147/165Mountain View (Santa Clara–North) 158/146/160 166/162/180 171/173/193Automobile travel times (includes 10 minutes of terminal time)Caltrain travel times (includes out-of-vehicle time weighted × 2.0)Express bus travel times (includes out-of-vehicle time weighted × 2.0)Source: ParsonsBy comparison, traveling by Caltrain or express bus will free the commuter to read, work, write and/orrelax. This recovered time can be viewed to be a travel time “savings.”For the purpose of this benefit calculation, travel time savings, i.e., time which can be put toproductive use, is computed to be time on-board the line haul transit vehicle (Caltrain or express bus),minus the time difference of the overall journey by transit versus automobile (Method 1).Figure 8-1 illustrates this travel time savings concept. Table 8-4 reports the findings of this analysis.An alternative and more conservative approach to calculating travel time savings (Method 2) is tobase the savings on the total travel time difference between the highway and transit for the Caltrain<strong>Extension</strong> project scenario. The Cal-B/C 1 utilizes this approach.“ If the difference in travel time is negative (i.e., the travel time is smaller on the parallel highwaythan on transit), the benefit is assumed to be zero. The new transit riders must have shiftedmodels for reasons other than travel time savings. Assuming that these new riders are rationalin their decision making, the sum of these benefits must be positive. Since Cal-B/C is unlikelyto capture all of the benefits (e.g., the value of reducing one’s stress by not having to drive, theimproved reliability of transit, etc.), the model conservatively estimates that the new transitriders do not receive a benefit.”A third approach (Method 3) is to recognize some useful benefit to the on-board line haul portion ofthe transit trip. This method weighs the in-vehicle travel time by a factor, typically 75 percent, andthen calculates the total travel time difference. Table 8-5 reports the findings of this analysis.Value of TimeConsistent with U.S. Department of <strong>Transportation</strong> guidance for the valuation of travel time ineconomic analysis, local personal travel was assumed to be valued at 50 percent of the local medianwage rate. Monterey County’s mean wage for all occupations was reported by the CaliforniaEmployment Development Department to be $18.01 per hour for the third quarter of 2005, or $37,458when expressed as an annual wage or salary. Using this wage rate as a basis, the value of timewould equal $9.00 per hour.Most people who commute to Silicon Valley (Santa Clara County) do so to earn a higher wage,however. Why else would a worker commute 60 to 100 miles from home to work to earn the samewage found locally.1Technical Supplement to User’s Guide, Booz • Allen & Hamilton, Inc., September 1999.parsons CHAPTER 8: EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES 179
CALTRAIN EXTENSION TO MONTEREY COUNTYALTERNATIVES ANALYSISFigure 8-1Travel Time Utilization—Method 1MinutesElapsed Time 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210Auto TripBeginChangemodeEndTransit TripBegin Change Line haul EndmodeEgressAccess stationUnproductive timeProductive timeTable 8-4Travel Time Savings (minutes per one-way trip)—Method 1Origin StationDestination TimePajaro Castroville SalinasStation Component Caltrain Express Bus Caltrain Express Bus Caltrain Express Bus2010San JoseSanta Clara–MidMountain ViewSanta Clara–NorthOn-board 81 81 95 95 105 105Δ time (41) (41) (55) (55) (63) (63)Net 40 40 40 40 42 42On-board 107 107 121 121 131 131Δ time (20) (20) (34) (34) (42) (42)Net 87 87 87 87 89 892030San JoseSanta Clara–MidMountain ViewSanta Clara–NorthOn-board 81 93 95 111 105 123Δ time (29) (41) (37) (53) (43) (61)Net 52 52 58 58 62 62On-board 107 121 121 139 131 151Δ time 12 (2) 4 (14) (2) (22)Net 119 119 125 125 129 129According to a report published by the American Electronics Association, California Cybercities 2006,San Jose/Silicon Valley is home to 214,900 high-tech jobs as of the end of 2004, which pay $126,729per year on average. (The average wage for all private sector workers in San Jose/Silicon Valley was$72,225.)Table 8-6 reports selected wage rates for comparison.parsons CHAPTER 8: EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES 180
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