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Commuter Rail Extension Alternatives Analysis - Transportation ...

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CALTRAIN EXTENSION TO MONTEREY COUNTYALTERNATIVES ANALYSISTable 8-26Net Change of Operational Emissions Associated with Caltrain <strong>Extension</strong> Caltrain<strong>Extension</strong> Alternative (tons/year)Year 2010VOC CO NO X PM 10 SO XTrain emissions 0.58 1.75 10.42 0.36 1.04<strong>Commuter</strong> vehicle emissions from home to train station 0.36 8.08 1.03 0.08 0.01<strong>Commuter</strong> emission reductions (4.59) (115.86) (15.90) (0.35) (0.10)2010 Total Net Change of Operational Omissions (3.65) (106.03) (4.45) 0.04 0.95Year 2030Train emissions 1.11 3.50 19.61 0.69 2.08<strong>Commuter</strong> vehicle emissions from home to train station 0.43 11.21 1.39 0.06 0.01<strong>Commuter</strong> emission reductions (4.87) (140.68) (18.89) (0.67) (0.20)2030 Total Net Change of Operational Emissions (3.33) (125.97) 2.11 0.08 1.89Table 8-27Net Change of Operational Emissions Associated with Express Bus Alternative (tons/year)Year 2010VOC CO NO X PM 10 SO XExpress bus emissions 4.30 34.37 23.49 0.24 0.03<strong>Commuter</strong> vehicle emissions from home to station 0.36 8.08 1.03 0.03 0.01<strong>Commuter</strong> emission reductions (4.59) (115.86) (15.90) (0.35) (0.10)2010 Total Net Change of Operational Omissions 0.07 (73.41) 8.62 (0.08) (0.06)Year 2030Express bus emissions 10.10 75.46 45.18 0.55 0.06<strong>Commuter</strong> vehicle emissions from home to station 0.43 11.21 1.39 0.06 0.01<strong>Commuter</strong> emission reductions (4.87) (140.68) (18.89) (0.67) (0.20)2030 Total Net Change of Operational Emissions 5.66 54.01 27.68 (0.06) (0.13)Health Cost of Motor Vehicle EmissionsThe net change in motor vehicle emissions were calculated for the Caltrain <strong>Extension</strong> Alternative andthe Express Bus Alternative as discussed above. Emission factors were derived from running thelatest EMFAC2002 model version 2.2 for the North Central Coast Air Basin. These rates were appliedto the total journey, which includes the San Francisco Bay Air Basin, as a simplifying assumption. Forthe passenger rail, express bus and auto modes, 2010 emission rates were applied to the 2010 operatingscenario. For the 2030 operating scenario, 2014 emission rates were applied for the passengerrail and auto modes; while 2010 rates, reflecting a 5 mph overall speed reduction, were applied to theexpress bus mode. Thus, motor vehicle emissions for the 2030 scenario are overstated.Monetary values for the motor vehicle emissions were obtained from the Cal-B/C model as updated in2004. These health costs are listed in Table 8-28 and have been updated from 2003 to 2006 usingthe GDP deflator (1.0412).parsons CHAPTER 8: EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES 194

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