Saticoy & Wells Community Plan & Development ... - City Of Ventura

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Saticoy & Wells Community Plan and Code EIRSection 4.12 Population and Housing4.12 POPULATION AND HOUSINGThis section evaluates the Project’s potential impact on population, housing and employment inthe City of Ventura.4.12.1 Settinga. City of Ventura. Ventura is the fourth largest city in Ventura County, with a 2008population estimated at 108,261 (California Department of Finance, 2008). Table 4.12-1provides the 2008 estimates of population and housing for the City of Ventura and VenturaCounty as a whole.The City of Ventura accounts for about 13% of the countywide population of 831,587. TheCity’s 42,407 households make up about 15% of the County’s total households. The averagenumber of persons per household in Ventura is 2.571 (California Department of Finance, 2008),which is about 19% lower than the countywide average of 3.065 persons per household.Table 4.12-1Current Housing and PopulationCity of VenturaVentura CountyHouseholds 42,407 276,320Population 108,261 831,587Persons/Household 2.571 3.065Sources: California Department of Finance, Official State Estimates ofCity/County Population and Housing, January 1, 2008.Table 4.12-2 shows employment, households and population projections for Ventura from theSouthern California Association of Governments (SCAG). As indicated, the current (2008)number of jobs in the City is estimated at approximately 66,049.Table 4.12-2SCAG Employment, Households and Population Projections for Ventura2005 2008 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035Population 106,261 108,261 a 112,044 117,013 122,440 127,032 131,050 133,638Household 40,055 42,407 a 42,346 44,838 46,925 48,665 50,210 51,677Employment 62,748 66,049 b 68,249 72,626 76,606 80,017 82,860 85,379Source: SCAG, 2008 RTP Baseline Growth Forecast, February, 2008.aThese figures are from the California Department of Finance in Table 4.10-1.bThis figure was interpolated from 2005 and 2010 projections. Note that SCAG’s employment estimates for Ventura have increasedon the order of 5-10% as compared to the estimates available at the time of the preparation of the 2005 General Plan FEIR.4.12-1City of Ventura
Saticoy & Wells Community Plan and Code EIRSection 4.12 Population and HousingUsing the 2008 estimate of employment (jobs) shown in Table 4.12-2, and comparing it to thenumber of households in the City, the current jobs/housing ratio in Ventura is about 1.58:1.According to the Ventura Council of Governments, an area is normally considered to be “inbalance” if it has between 1.1 and 1.34 jobs per housing unit (Economic/Transit/Mixed UseStrategies for Housing Rich Communities, 2004). The current ratio reflects a condition of higherjobs in relationship to housing, suggesting that Ventura is somewhat “jobs rich.”b. Project Area. The Project Area includes a variety of housing types and locations.There are currently an estimated 2,235 residential units within the Project Area. Based on theCity of Ventura’s current persons per household ratio (2.57 persons/household), the ProjectArea houses approximately 5,750 residents.The Project Area also includes a mix of special needs housing for seniors, homeless, andfarmworker housing. Specifically, the Project Area includes several mobile home parks thatserve as low-cost housing for seniors. Additionally, the Ventura County Farmworker HousingStudy (2002) identified 24 parcels within the Project Area potentially suitable for farmworkerhousing. The UC Hansen Specific Plan includes a minimum of 20 farmworker dwelling units.c. Regulatory Setting. The 2000-2006 Housing Element is one the nine elements ofVentura’s General Plan, which identifies and analyzes existing and projected housing needs andincludes a statement of goals, policies, and schedule programs for the preservation,improvement and development of housing. The Housing Element identifies strategies andprograms that focus on: (1) maintaining and improving existing housing and neighborhoods,(2) providing a range of housing types and adequate housing sites, (3) assisting in the provisionof affordable housing, (4) removing governmental and other constraints to housing productionand affordability and (5) promoting fair and equal housing opportunities.4.12.2 Impact Analysisa. Methodology and Significance Thresholds. Impacts to population are generallysocial or economic in nature. Under CEQA, a social or economic change is not considered asignificant effect on the environment unless the changes can be directly linked to a physicalchange. Population impacts would therefore be considered potentially significant if growthfacilitated by the Project would exceed SCAG growth projections and if such an exceedancewould have the potential to create a significant physical change to the environment.Project implementation would not displace existing residences or residents. Therefore, issuesrelating to displacement are not relevant to the project.b. Project Impacts and Mitigation Measures.Impact PH-1 Development facilitated by the Project would not causedevelopment to exceed SCAG or General Plan population orhousing projections. Therefore, impacts would be Class III, lessthan significant.As indicated in Table 2-3 of Section 2.0, Project Description, development facilitated by the4.12-2City of Ventura
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Saticoy & Wells Community Plan & Development ... - City Of Ventura

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