Indian Intelligence — Imperativesfor ChangeShri Ajit Doval, IPS (Retd.)In a constant race against time <strong>and</strong> ever searchingfor new ideas to defeat the ingenuity <strong>of</strong> theiradversaries, for intelligence agencies to changeis not an option, but a compulsive necessity.Regrettably, those who change only when theyhave to, pay an un-affordably high price. Worse,it is <strong>of</strong>ten preceded by a nation bruised, if notbled. Imaginative changes, innovation in tools<strong>of</strong> intelligence generation <strong>and</strong> analysis, <strong>and</strong>constant up-gradation <strong>of</strong> capacities can only keepthem a step ahead <strong>of</strong> their adversaries. This paperanalyses the dynamics <strong>of</strong> change in the Indiancontext, <strong>and</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the new realities that Indianintelligence needs to factor in for designing itsstrategy for change.Intelligence agencies, consciously or otherwise,pursue three discernable patterns <strong>of</strong> change.First is the evolutionary pattern. Accounting formost <strong>of</strong> the changes, these are slow, routine <strong>and</strong>continuous in nature. They are mostly triggeredby contemporaneous developments, leadingto resetting <strong>of</strong> priorities, leadership changes inorganizational hierarchies <strong>and</strong> evolving pressureswithin the organizations to address pr<strong>of</strong>essional,structural or administrative problems. Thoughun-noticed, these changes are vital as they keepintelligence agencies progressive, time consistent<strong>and</strong> forward looking, through constant coursecorrection <strong>and</strong> problem solving. Most <strong>of</strong> thesechanges are effected within the organization<strong>and</strong> do not impact on the working arrangementswith other organs <strong>of</strong> the Government, or involvechanges in law or Government’s Rules <strong>of</strong>Business. Though known to few, the score board<strong>of</strong> Indian Intelligence, particularly the Intelligence<strong>Bureau</strong>, on this count, has been outst<strong>and</strong>ing.Even in the absence <strong>of</strong> additional resources,new empowerments <strong>and</strong> living with securityinsensitive, if not illiterate, culture <strong>of</strong> governance,it has been able to bring about changes inreal time to face new problems <strong>of</strong> insurgency,terrorism, espionage, border intrusions, sociopoliticalconflicts, etc., even in the remotest parts<strong>of</strong> the country. Decisional autonomy enjoyed bythe Director, Intelligence <strong>Bureau</strong>, his proximity topolitical leadership, a strong culture <strong>of</strong> loyalty <strong>and</strong>esprit de corps within the organization, besidesquality leadership at various levels, have madethis possible. However, the great contribution <strong>of</strong>evolutionary changes notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing, it needsto be underlined that the phenomenon operateswithin a limited b<strong>and</strong>-width <strong>and</strong> cannot addressfundamental infirmities. It is unfit to bring aboutchanges that have a long gestation period, involvehigh expenditure, require major technologicalor structural changes or have legal implications.It also cannot alter basic approaches towardssecurity management, <strong>of</strong> which intelligence isonly one component, particularly in a ruckusdemocracy like India. One down side <strong>of</strong> such inhouseinnovations <strong>and</strong> improvisations is that itmakes the Governments complacent, mistakingthe success <strong>of</strong> fire fighting efforts as a solution tothe cause <strong>of</strong> fire. Quite <strong>of</strong>ten, the forewarnings<strong>and</strong> ignored pleas for action to <strong>of</strong>fset theimpending threats in India, go unaccounted <strong>and</strong>unpunished, making systemic failures revisit withvengeance.The second set <strong>of</strong> changes may be called‘reformist’. They are triggered by some majorreverses or failures forcing the Governments,either on their own volition or under pressure<strong>of</strong> public opinion, to bring about fundamentalchanges. Changes following the attack on PearlHarbour <strong>and</strong> post war emergence <strong>of</strong> Communistthreat to the US, India’s 1962 Chinese debacle,post 9/11 threat <strong>of</strong> jehadi terrorism etc. fall in thiscategory. Often Governments appoint enquirycommissions or experts committees to studythe failures, analyze the causes <strong>and</strong> recommend32The Indian <strong>Police</strong> Journal, October - December, 2012, Special Issue
eforms. Warren Commission, on the assassination<strong>of</strong> President Kennedy, Senate Committee on theWatergate Sc<strong>and</strong>al, Shah Commission on the role<strong>of</strong> intelligence during emergency in India etc. areillustrative. They examine not only the internalworkings <strong>of</strong> the organization but also functionalrelativity with organizations <strong>and</strong> systems outsidethe intelligence community. Public committeesserve a very useful purpose as they are ableto examine <strong>and</strong> evaluate the functioning <strong>of</strong>intelligence agencies in the broader context <strong>of</strong>political environment, systems <strong>of</strong> governance<strong>and</strong> Iegal-constitutional framework. However,at times, meant only to serve political purposeor silence mounting public criticism, thesecommittees are less than objective <strong>and</strong> swayedby extra-pr<strong>of</strong>essional considerations. Theyalso <strong>of</strong>ten get over influenced by populistperceptions <strong>of</strong> the causes <strong>and</strong> remedies, whichare not always correct. Consequently, theirfindings <strong>and</strong> recommendations do not alwayslead to improvements in the efficiency <strong>and</strong>effectiveness <strong>of</strong> intelligence agencies. The ShahCommission’s findings <strong>and</strong> recommendationsare a case in point. On the contrary, committeeson reforms that are led by the pr<strong>of</strong>essionals, areable to come out with more specific, incisive <strong>and</strong>‘doable’ recommendations. The Shankar NairCommittee report, despite its limited m<strong>and</strong>ate onintelligence reforms, came out with some highlycommendable recommendations.The third category comprises changes that arebrought about by intelligence agencies on theirown, or in conjunction with the larger securityset up <strong>of</strong> the country, envisioning futuristic threats<strong>and</strong> challenges. Transformational in character,they involve constructing future scenarios,assessing the environment in which intelligenceagencies will have to operate <strong>and</strong> calculatinggaps between existing capacities <strong>and</strong> thoserequired to meet emerging threats. This exercisenecessitates intensive study <strong>of</strong> futuristic trends,their implications for national security, analyzingpolicy options <strong>and</strong> formulating strategy for change.Forecasting intelligence needs <strong>of</strong> the country,it should attempt to architect new doctrines,suggest structural changes, aim at optimization<strong>of</strong> resources <strong>and</strong> examine administrative <strong>and</strong>legislative changes required for empowerment <strong>of</strong>intelligence agencies. While intelligence agenciesin developed countries frequently attempt thisexercise, the Indian intelligence has rarely madea conscious effort in this direction. One suchexercise was carried out in the late eighties in theIntelligence <strong>Bureau</strong> on the initiative <strong>of</strong> Shri M.K. Narayanan, just before he was tipped to takeover as the chief.At the national level, the Report <strong>of</strong> the Group <strong>of</strong>Ministers on National Security in 2001, was thefirst macro level attempt in this direction. Thoughit came as an aftermath <strong>of</strong> the SubramaniamCommittee report on Kargil, it was an integratedfuturistic attempt to restructure nationalsecurity under four categories namely, defence,intelligence, internal security <strong>and</strong> bordermanagement. It came with some outst<strong>and</strong>ingrecommendations, but unfortunately with thechange in regime the momentum <strong>of</strong> changecould not be sustained. One <strong>of</strong> the majorrecommendations, that was lost sight <strong>of</strong>, pertainedto the review <strong>of</strong> the national security by a highpowered Groups <strong>of</strong> Ministers, every five years. Ifimplemented, there would have been perspectiveaction plans for intelligence <strong>and</strong> other reforms in2006 <strong>and</strong> 2011. For this category <strong>of</strong> changes to bereally effective, a political will is necessary, thatrequires serious <strong>and</strong> enthusiastic involvement<strong>of</strong> senior political leadership <strong>of</strong> the country. InIndia, national security is a low agenda item,except when the nation finds itself in the midst<strong>of</strong> a serious security crisis. Unfortunately, thatis the most ineffective setting for change. In anideal situation, the Government should developa long term bi-partisan consensus for thesetransformational changes.It needs to be emphasized that both theevolutionary <strong>and</strong> reformist approaches to change,though important by themselves, are inadequateto meet threats <strong>of</strong> the future. These approachesto change are premised on the assumption thatif shortcomings <strong>of</strong> the past were redressed, thefuture would be safe. They allow us to analysethe causes <strong>of</strong> failure, examine existing systems<strong>and</strong> processes, <strong>and</strong> suggest readjustment toprevent their recurrence. The broader legal,administrative <strong>and</strong> security frameworks are takenfor granted; presuming that intelligence would beable to deliver the moon only through changeswithin — every time, everywhere. Unfortunately,this is an erroneous premise. At best, they equipThe Indian <strong>Police</strong> Journal, October - December, 2012, Special Issue 33
- Page 1 and 2: The Indian Police JournalOctober -
- Page 3 and 4: From the Director’s DeskNew Delhi
- Page 5 and 6: 23rd December, 1887: TheJourney beg
- Page 7 and 8: Courtesy - National Archives of Ind
- Page 9 and 10: The Logo released on the completion
- Page 11 and 12: Helmsmen of the IB during thePre-In
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- Page 17 and 18: their life and their problems relat
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- Page 21 and 22: perish. Between 1841 and 1848, anot
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- Page 25 and 26: own race alone, had to be withdrawn
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Observations on India’s State and
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assessments that arose after the ca
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The Unsung HeroesThe Intelligence B