outst<strong>and</strong>ing competence, courage, sincerity,dedication, sacrifice <strong>and</strong> determination. Butfor their unstinted support <strong>and</strong> cooperation, itwould not have been possible for me to meetthe challenges <strong>of</strong> critical times. The laurels won,if any, were entirely because <strong>of</strong> their hard work<strong>and</strong> cooperation <strong>of</strong> a very high order. They wereindeed matchless <strong>and</strong> made the organisationproud. Above all, they helped in transformingmy destiny.It is this rich legacy, combined with competence<strong>and</strong> commitment <strong>of</strong> the present <strong>and</strong> cominggenerations, that would help the IB attain newerheights <strong>of</strong> glory <strong>and</strong> excellence. What they needto pursue, are the cherished values <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>essionalrectitude to create hopes for a brighter future <strong>of</strong>the country <strong>and</strong> its people. We, members <strong>of</strong> theIB family, wish the great Institution the best <strong>of</strong>times <strong>and</strong> many many more happy returns <strong>of</strong> theDay, on the occasion <strong>of</strong> its 125 th Anniversary.42The Indian <strong>Police</strong> Journal, October - December, 2012, Special Issue
Intelligence Agencies inIndian DemocracyDr Ajai Sahni,Executive Director, Institute for Conflict ManagementThe frontiers <strong>of</strong> criminality in India have beenexp<strong>and</strong>ing exponentially since Independence,with terrorism <strong>and</strong> the changing internal securityscenario adding a dramatic new dimension tothe character <strong>and</strong> scale <strong>of</strong> the challenges facedby the intelligence <strong>and</strong> enforcement apparatus<strong>of</strong> the state. Apart from insurgent <strong>and</strong> terroristviolence, there has also been a noticeableupsurge in organized <strong>and</strong> transnational crime inrecent decades, including disturbing tendenciesto collusive operations, covering complexeconomic <strong>of</strong>fences, as well as linkages withpowerful politicians <strong>and</strong> the bureaucracy, on theone h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> with international criminal <strong>and</strong>terrorist groupings, on the other.A combination <strong>of</strong> demographic, technological<strong>and</strong> geopolitical factors suggests that theseproblems have the potential for significantaugmentation in the foreseeable future. Already,many movements <strong>of</strong> extreme violence are led bymen who are obsessed by apocalyptic visions <strong>of</strong>genocide <strong>and</strong> omnicide, <strong>and</strong> who, increasingly,are approaching the possibilities <strong>of</strong> securing themeans to achieve these ends. Indeed, intelligence<strong>and</strong> security agencies across the world nowconcede not only the possibility, but, in fact,the imminence <strong>of</strong> a future catastrophic attack,potentially involving WMD technologies; amongthese, the most devastating <strong>and</strong> accessible couldwell be biological terrorist attacks that couldleave millions dead.Terrorism is undergoing radical, generationalshifts, <strong>and</strong> when this transition manifests itself ina new wave <strong>of</strong> catastrophic attacks, the resultantshocks could destroy almost all capacities <strong>of</strong>response within the target systems. With rareexception, however, India’s strategic <strong>and</strong> policyestablishment continues to prepare to counternothing more than the last terrorist attack,substantially oblivious <strong>of</strong> the continuous process<strong>of</strong> reinvention that terrorists are engaged in.There is, in India today, little comprehension<strong>of</strong> the magnitude <strong>and</strong> the evolving nature <strong>of</strong> thefuture threat <strong>of</strong> terrorism, consigning much <strong>of</strong> thediscourse on the subject to the realm <strong>of</strong> makebelieve.Terrorism, however, does not exhaust the threatthe country faces. India’s democracy is, today,under sustained attack from within <strong>and</strong> without.In 65 years <strong>of</strong> independence, the institutions <strong>of</strong>governance have never appeared as fragmented<strong>and</strong> fragile as they seem today. Even as thecapacities for governance appear to be insufficientto fulfil the most rudimentary m<strong>and</strong>ate <strong>of</strong> modernadministration, the institutions <strong>of</strong> governance areconfronted with a tsunami <strong>of</strong> rising aspirations,<strong>and</strong> by a divisive, criminalized <strong>and</strong> polarizedpolitics that exacerbates centrifugal tendenciesacross the country.It is within the complex dynamic <strong>of</strong> these risingdisorders that India’s intelligence apparatus hasto respond, <strong>and</strong> is to be evaluated. Despite itsconsiderable achievements, there is evidentlya crisis in the intelligence establishment in thecountry today, <strong>and</strong> it is obvious that the system isunprepared to deal with the projected threats <strong>of</strong>the future. Indeed, it has seen significant failures,even in its efforts to confront the problems <strong>of</strong> thepresent.There has been much talk <strong>of</strong> intelligence failure<strong>and</strong> intelligence reform over the past years,particularly since the Kargil debacle <strong>of</strong> 1999.Nevertheless, the contours <strong>of</strong> the crisis <strong>of</strong>intelligence in the country may not be those thatexhaust much <strong>of</strong> the public discourse. The currentdebate on intelligence has overwhelminglyfocused on ‘coordination failures’, centralizationor integration <strong>of</strong> comm<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> control, includingthe controversial proposals for the NationalThe Indian <strong>Police</strong> Journal, October - December, 2012, Special Issue 43
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The Indian Police JournalOctober -
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From the Director’s DeskNew Delhi
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of laying a network of useful roads
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Technology in Intelligence-Future S
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These are just some of the aspects
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Figure 6: Open Source Information o
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events) and inference from evidence
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9North Atlantic Treaty Organization
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Shri Dave was posted back to the lB
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He even suggested separate pay scal
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The Unsung HeroesThe Intelligence B