STEP SIX: URBAN DEVELOPMENT, MANAGEMENT ANDIMPLEMENTATIONThe outcome of <strong>the</strong> urban structure assignment approach based on <strong>the</strong> modelling of urbanmorphological types, yields <strong>development</strong> guidance and minimum performance requirementsthat give both sectoral/ departmental guidance (in terms of its function within <strong>the</strong> builtenvironment and urban <strong>development</strong>), as well as cross-cutting/ co-operative guidancebetween sectors/ departments (Figure 4-4). The latter is fundamental if an integrated andsustainable urban system is to be achieved; it assists with ensuring that strategies work insynergy and that resources are pooled, and allows for <strong>the</strong> early identification of disparities.This in turn enables timely adjustments and corrections, before <strong>the</strong>se become programmaticallyirreversible and a physical reality that represents a waste of valuable resource.in 2055 (high scenario; <strong>Gauteng</strong> 2055 Trend Paper - Population and Migration by ForcedMigration Programme (Wits). The modelling indicates that <strong>the</strong> envisaged population canbe accommodated within <strong>the</strong> proposed anticipated outer extent of urban <strong>development</strong>by 2055 of <strong>the</strong> GSDF as indicated in Figure 4-5.The envisaged allocation of <strong>the</strong> population and associated residential densities within <strong>the</strong>corridors and consolidation zones is outlined in Table 4-iSECTION 4: OUTCOMES OF APPLICATION: FROM CONCEPT TO COMPOSITEFigure 4-4: The Outcome: Sectoral and Cooperative GuidanceEXAMPLE OF URBAN STRUCTURE ASSIGNMENT OUTCOMEIn conclusion to this section, <strong>the</strong> modelling outcomes with regard to <strong>the</strong> allocation ofprojected population and residential densities are indicated for <strong>the</strong> urban system as a whole.The modelling is based on a future estimated population of approximately 28 million peopleFigure 4-5: Allocation of Population - GSDF Consolidation Zones and Corridors57 GAUTENG SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 2011 GAUTENG GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT AGENCY
GSDF: INITIAL ALLOCATION OF POPULATION GROWTH & DENSITY<strong>Gauteng</strong> Population 2007<strong>Gauteng</strong> Target Population 2055Total population growth expectedAverage population growth per annum<strong>Gauteng</strong> Population estimate 2010For calculation exercise10,454,55328,000,00017,545,447365,53011,551,14311,500,000Sources:1. 2007 Population Figures, GSDF GIS- Stats SA CommunitySurvey 2007 Statistical Release2. High Scenario, <strong>Gauteng</strong> 2055 Trend Paper- Population & Migrationby Forced Migration Programme (Wits)Provincial Area Breakdown Year 2010 Population Increase Total Year 2055Urban Structure Zone Land Area (ha) PopulationWithin Proposed Urban Footprint / ExtentConsolidation ZonesCorridors & Usaz Areas / DistrictsNature Areas (within urban footprint)Voids (within urban footprint)Outside of Proposed Urban Footprint / ExtentRemaining Provincial Areas / Non-urbanNature AreasNote: Estimates exclude Sasolburg.Table 4-i: GSDF - Initial Allocation of Population Growth and DensityGross Density:2010 (p/ha)PopulationIncreaseGross Density:Growth (p/ha)PopulationGross Density:2055 (p/ha)219,829 4,826,431 22.0 7,694,015 35.0 12,520,446 57.0346,394 6,298,232 18.2 7,967,062 23.0 14,265,294 41.23,141 0.0 0.07,812 0.0 0.0Urban Subtotal 577,176 11,124,664 19.6 15,661,077 27.7 26,785,741 47.31,238,147 375,336 0.3 913,862 0.7 1,289,198 1.010,197 0.0 0.0 0.0Non-urban Subtotal 1,248,344 375,336 0.3 913,862 0.7 1,289,198 1.0Total 1,825,520 11,500,000 16,574,939 28,074,939Calculated off GIS 1,825,520Gross DensityNett DensityPopulation & Density Estimate within ProposedLand Area (ha) Total Gross Density: Assuming 2/3 of Nett Density: UnitUrban Footprint Land Area by 2055Population 2055 (p/ha) Land Area 2055 (p/ha) Density 20552055DevelopableProposed Urban Footprint / Extent 566,223 26,785,741 47 377,482 71 22Note: Assuming 3.2 persons per household, and one dwelling perhousehold.SECTION 4: OUTCOMES OF APPLICATION: FROM CONCEPT TO COMPOSITEGAUTENG SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 2011GAUTENG GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT AGENCY58
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THE GAUTENG SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT FRA
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TABLE OF CONTENTSSECTION 1: INTRODU
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Table A.2-iv: Summary - Typical per
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FIGURESSECTION 1: INTRODUCTIONFigur
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Figure A.2.4: Modelling key compone
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FOREWORD
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SECTION1:Introduction
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development framework around which
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SECTION 1: INTRODUCTIONcadastral in
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THE CONNECTIVITY MODELANNEXURE A: T
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CONNECTIVITY MODEL 2This iteration
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CONNECTIVITY MODEL 4The fourth iter
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CONNECTIVITY MODEL 6The final itera
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THE BID-RENT MODELThe Bid-Rent Mode
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TOPOGRAPHIC SUITABILITYThe Topograp
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THE SPATIAL POLICY SUPPORT INDEXThe
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SURFACE CONSTRAINTSThe Surface Cons
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APPENDIXA.5Model 5 - the virtualmod
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TSHWANE STATIONS123Existing conditi
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APPENDIXB.1: Restrictingurban spraw
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urban edge, many of the municipal S
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ANNEXURE B: POLICY POSITION PAPERSF
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APPENDIXB.2: A densification policy
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The model that is to guide both res
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APPENDIXB.3: Harmonisinghousingprov
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housing and mixed-uses can be reali
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ANNEXURE B: POLICY POSITION PAPERSF
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ANNEXURE B: POLICY POSITION PAPERSF
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THE PRINCIPLES GOVERNING THE TRANSP
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ANNEXURE B: POLICY POSITION PAPERSi
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Possible outer extentsof urban deve
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APPENDIXB.5: Thecase principles ofs
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sustainable and efficient. A long-t
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APPENDIXC.1: Thefreight and logisti
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overall platform on which more focu
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A further south-eastern regional hu
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ANNEXURE C: POLICY PERSPECTIVESFigu
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anges of hills or mountains, whethe
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APPENDIXC.3: Preservationof landhav
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ANNEXURE C: POLICY PERSPECTIVESFigu
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URBAN CONSOLIDATION ZONESThe physic
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APPENDIXC.5: Indicativepatterns ofe
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ANNEXURE C: POLICY PERSPECTIVESFigu
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ANNEXURE C: POLICY PERSPECTIVESFigu
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APPENDIXC.6: Integrationof the rura
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opportunity that goes with being ab
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ANNEXURED: The package of plans
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In order to achieve spatial integri
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LEVEL ESSENTIAL FOCUS AND SCOPE SCA
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LEVEL ESSENTIAL FOCUS AND SCOPE SCA
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ANNEXUREE: Glossary of terms
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Brownfield Land and SitesPreviously
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ANNEXURE E: GLOSSARY OF TERMSTown -
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Development ManagementThe process w
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Geographic Spread Programme (DTI)Th
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ANNEXURE E: GLOSSARY OF TERMSIntegr
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ANNEXURE E: GLOSSARY OF TERMSSpatia
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ANNEXURE E: GLOSSARY OF TERMSUrban
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ANNEXURE E: GLOSSARY OF TERMS• Ur