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Public Policy: Using Market-Based Approaches - Department for ...

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<strong>Public</strong> <strong>Policy</strong>: <strong>Using</strong> <strong>Market</strong>-<strong>Based</strong> <strong>Approaches</strong><br />

● ‘cost-minimising’ (profit maximising) manipulations, which implies the ability<br />

to influence the transaction price of traded permits. A monopolistic seller sets<br />

the price at the level which maximises the difference between revenues from<br />

permits sales and its abatement costs. Similarly a monopolistic buyer<br />

manipulates the price in order to minimise the sum of expenditures from<br />

permits purchases and its abatement costs.<br />

In most cases, exclusionary manipulation is not a feasible strategy. In most<br />

markets <strong>for</strong> emissions trading, participants come from a very wide range of<br />

economic activities. This means that a new entrant into a given sector can obtain<br />

tradable permits from firms outside its own sector, which have no incentives to<br />

withhold the permits from the new entrant. 225 In practice there<strong>for</strong>e, an<br />

exclusionary manipulation strategy will be difficult to pursue. 226<br />

However, the cost-minimising manipulation strategy could arise if either<br />

dominant buyers or dominant sellers could exercise their market power and thus<br />

alter prices. For instance, a dominant seller may set a high price and sell fewer<br />

permits than under competitive conditions. 227 In such a case emissions trading<br />

will not deliver the economic efficiencies expected, since the permit price would<br />

reflect market power and not the cost of pollution abatement. Firms would<br />

there<strong>for</strong>e be induced to undertake emission reduction strategies that are not cost<br />

effective. Hahn (1984) and Weskog (1996) predict that a dominant seller, or a<br />

coalition of them, would withhold supply from the market, resulting in smaller<br />

aggregate cost savings than if the market had been competitive. 228<br />

However, Carlén (2003) in an experimental analysis focusing on the end of the<br />

emissions trading period, shows that in a dual auction market, where a<br />

dominant trader faces an opposite side of the market that is fairly competitive,<br />

the presence of a dominant trader does not affect market efficiency. 229<br />

A possible way to prevent the exercise of market power is to extend the size of<br />

the trading market. The greater the trading market, the lower the problems of<br />

concentration. This can be achieved by extending trading on an international<br />

basis, perhaps with aggregate caps at an industry level. 230 Burniaux (1999) and<br />

Bader (1996), following Hahn (1984), find that international-level trading would<br />

greatly minimise the risk of market power. 231<br />

225 See Baron (2000)<br />

226 Westkog (1996) shows that an exclusionary manipulation may be unlikely even in the case that governments and<br />

not firms where the main traders, since conflicting interests by different firms within a country would make<br />

difficult <strong>for</strong> countries to arrive to an effective exclusionary manipulation. Westkog H. (1996) ‘ <strong>Market</strong> Power in a<br />

System of Tradable CO Quotas’. The Energy Journal, Vol. 17, No 3.<br />

2<br />

227 In the same way a monopsonistic firm may set the permit price lower compared with the competitive scenario<br />

and abate too much (buy too few permits) relative to the competitive case.<br />

228 Hahn R.W.(1984), ‘ <strong>Market</strong> Power and Transferable Property Rights’, Quarterly Journal of Economics 99, pp 753-65.<br />

229 Carlén B, ‘ <strong>Market</strong> Power in International Carbon Emissions Trading: A Laboratory Test. Global Change, MIT<br />

Report No. 96, January 2003.<br />

230 ABARE (1995) Global Climate Change: Economic Dimension of a Cooperative International <strong>Policy</strong> Response<br />

beyond 2000, ABARE, Canberra.<br />

231 Bader P. (1996): Emissions trading; country-model vs. industry-model’. Chair of Economics, University of<br />

Augsburg, Germany.<br />

190

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