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32<br />

Handling Systems Driven by Different Noise<br />

Sources: Implications for Power Curve<br />

Estimations<br />

F. Böttcher, J. Peinke, D. Kleinhans, and R. Friedrich<br />

Summary. A frequent challenge for wind energy applications is to grasp the impacts<br />

of turbulent wind speeds properly. Here we present a general new approach<br />

to analyze time series – interpreted as a realization of complex dynamical systems –<br />

which are spoiled by the simultaneous presence of dynamical noise and measurement<br />

noise. It is shown that such noise implications can be quantified solely on the basis<br />

of measured times series.<br />

32.1 Power Curve Estimation in a Turbulent<br />

Environment<br />

A fundamental problem in wind energy production is a proper estimation of<br />

the wind turbine-specific power curve, i.e., the functional relation between the<br />

(averaged) wind speed u(t) and the corresponding (averaged) power output<br />

P (t): 〈u(t)〉 →〈P (u(t))〉. On the basis of this relation and the expected annual<br />

wind speed distribution at a specific location the annual energy production<br />

(AEP) is estimated.<br />

The main problem of a proper determination of the power curve (officially<br />

regularized in IEC 61400-12) is its nonlinearity in combination with the turbulent<br />

wind field. It is well known that to characterize a fluctuating nonlinear<br />

quantity higher order moments are generally needed to be considered. In view<br />

of the determination of a proper power curve this means that the association<br />

of an averaged power to an averaged wind speed is not unique but will depend<br />

at least on the intensity of fluctuations. To circumvent this difficulty it was<br />

suggested to expand the power curve into a Taylor series (e.g., [1, 2])<br />

P (u) =Pr(V )+<br />

∂P(V )<br />

∂u<br />

· v + 1 ∂<br />

2<br />

2P (V )<br />

∂u2 · v 2 + O(v 3 ) , (32.1)<br />

where the notation u(t) =V + v(t) (with V := 〈u(t)〉 and 〈v(t)〉 =0)for<br />

the instantaneous wind speed is used. Assuming that the fluctuations v(t) are

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